Topic
Stagflation
Research on stagflation scenarios combining weak growth and persistent inflation. Analysis covers energy shocks, labor markets, and cross-asset hedging strategies.
2843 reports available
Can Gold Reach New Highs
Gold has fallen 17% from its January highs due to dollar strength and rate fears, but UBS forecasts a recovery to USD 5,500/oz by year-end.
Think Ahead: Deal Done, Hikes Axed?
While a potential US-Iran deal may reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ING argues that central banks like the ECB and Fed will likely maintain their hawkish stance in June due to lingering supply chain impacts and the need for policy credibility.
Morning Report
Global markets began June with optimism as a potential Iran deal boosted equities and lowered oil prices, despite ongoing regional conflict in Lebanon. US indices reached a nine-week winning streak while Australian yields fell following global trends.
What Does Fed Policy Mean For Investors
UBS maintains that the bar for Fed rate hikes is high and views current market hawkishness as an opportunity to lock in yields in quality bonds. The house view expects rate cuts to begin in December 2026 as growth returns to trend and the labor market loosens.
Good Morning Mail
Global markets trade at record highs as SoftBank's $52 billion AI infrastructure plan and a tentative US-Iran ceasefire boost sentiment. Hedge funds are buying US equities at the fastest pace in six months amidst a strong 2026 earnings outlook.
US Equities: The Index vs. Single Stocks
The S&P 500 continues its smooth rally to new highs, yet beneath the surface, factor volatility and hedge fund leverage are at multi-year extremes. Investors are increasingly favoring upside convexity over downside protection, leaving the market vulnerable to a shift from dispersion to macro correlation.