Topic

Middle East Research

Finvaulta tracks 843 research reports on Middle East, updated through July 30, 2026. Latest: “Macro Corporate Spotlight”.

Recent research on the Middle East highlights geopolitical instability as a primary driver of market performance, with US military strikes on Iranian facilities and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea elevating risk premiums. Concerns surrounding key maritime transit corridors like the Strait of Hormuz have injected volatility into energy markets, causing Brent crude price fluctuations and prompting QatarEnergy to extend LNG delivery disruptions into September. Despite these supply chain disruptions and logistics shifts, foundational GCC macroeconomics show resilience, evidenced by Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund expanding to USD 1.2 trillion and its current account returning to a surplus in Q1 2026. Regional economic momentum is further supported by ADNOC's gas infrastructure expansion and Fitch's optimistic outlook on Oman's banking sector due to solid GDP growth and asset quality. Sovereign credit markets reflect cautious risk-off sentiment and volatile trading, yet primary market access persists as Kuwait successfully raised USD 6 billion in capital markets. Meanwhile, local economic metrics remain mixed, with Dubai experiencing 5.7% year-over-year inflation driven by food and transport, while legal analyses assess potential strategic moves around the Strait of Hormuz under UNCLOS Article 26.

Featured reports

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Macro Corporate Spotlight

J.P. Morgan·Jul 30, 2026

This report provides a macro update for corporate treasurers regarding 2H26, covering impacts from the Middle East conflict, US policy shifts, and the emerging El Niño climate phenomenon.

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Middle East Daily

MUFG·Jul 30, 2026

The report highlights the economic outlook for the Middle East amidst regional conflict, noting a significant projected slowdown in Saudi Arabia's 2026 GDP growth to 1.7%. Markets are monitoring geopolitical risks and US strikes on Iranian assets as oil prices remain sensitive to supply chain security.

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Oil Markets Weekly

J.P. Morgan·Jul 30, 2026

This report examines the potential for Iran to implement a service-fee structure in the Strait of Hormuz based on international maritime law. It also provides comprehensive global crude oil supply, demand, and production data through 2027.

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Investing In Emerging Markets

UBS·Jul 22, 2026

Despite renewed Middle East tensions and oil price fluctuations, UBS maintains a constructive outlook on emerging market assets. Broadening equity performance and attractive fixed income fundamentals support the case for further gains through year-end.

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International Market Intelligence Morning Briefing

J.P. Morgan·Jul 9, 2026

The report analyzes the market impact of renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, highlighting a 'risk-off' environment characterized by higher oil prices and hawkish rate expectations. It advocates for a tactical preference for US and select Asian equities over European markets while emphasizing long-term themes in energy infrastructure.

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Global Banks Strategist

HSBC·Jul 1, 2026

This report provides a global strategy for bank equities, highlighting an upgrade to US banks and a downgrade for mainland China amidst a shifting macro landscape.

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Global Economic Viewpoint Mid-Year Review Hydration Break

Bank of America·Jun 25, 2026

This report provides a mid-year assessment of the global economy, noting resilience from the AI boom and a fragile peace deal in the Middle East. It highlights a hawkish turn from the US Federal Reserve as a key risk to continued growth.

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Reducing Our Price Forecast on Deal to Reopen Hormuz

Goldman Sachs·Jun 15, 2026

Goldman Sachs has reduced its Brent and WTI oil price forecasts for 2026 and 2027, citing an expected normalization of Persian Gulf supply following a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Despite a projected 2027 surplus, the firm maintains a resilient long-term price outlook due to strategic stockpiling and persistent security premiums.

Early Morning Reid Macro Strategy

Deutsche Bank·Aug 13, 2026

Mena Chemicals 2H26 Outlook

Goldman Sachs·Aug 12, 2026

Venture Global Takeaways from Management Meeting

Goldman Sachs·Aug 11, 2026

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