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Goldman Sachs

February 13, 2026

January CPI Preview

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

Goldman Sachs forecasts Canada's January headline CPI at +0.19% MoM and +2.35% YoY, reflecting a slowdown in sequential inflation despite a 66bp boost from tax-related base effects.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Goldman Sachs expects Canada's January headline CPI to slow to +0.19% month-over-month.
  • 2.Base effects from a temporary GST/HST holiday in the previous year are expected to boost the year-over-year inflation rate by 66 basis points.
  • 3.Energy inflation is projected to accelerate due to higher gasoline prices, while food inflation is expected to move sideways.

Table of Contents

  • January CPI Preview
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

Document Preview

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Page 1 of January CPI Preview
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Authors

Megan PetersJoseph Briggs

Securities

Canada CPI

Themes

Base Effects in Economic DataInflation Moderation

Regions

North AmericaCanada