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Goldman Sachs

February 13, 2026

Czech Republic Final CPI Print Analysis

Market ReportFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsIndustrialsUtilities

The final January CPI print for the Czech Republic confirmed a drop in headline inflation to 1.6%yoy, driven by energy and transport. Goldman Sachs predicts the CNB will resume rate cuts later this year to reach a terminal rate of 2.75%.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Final January headline CPI for the Czech Republic was confirmed at +1.6%yoy, down from +2.1%yoy in December.
  • 2.The decline in inflation was primarily driven by lower energy and transport costs, though energy prices may see further weakness as price reductions pass through.
  • 3.Goldman Sachs remains more dovish than the CNB and consensus, forecasting a terminal policy rate of 2.75% later this year.

Table of Contents

  • Monthly Headline and Inflation Breakdown
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Reg AC
  • Disclosures
  • Regulatory disclosures
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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Authors

Kevin DalyJohan Allen

Securities

CZKCzech National Bank Policy Rate

Themes

Central Bank DivergenceDisinflation

Regions

EuropeUnited States