Goldman Sachs
February 13, 2026
Czech Republic Final CPI Print Analysis
Market ReportFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsIndustrialsUtilities
The final January CPI print for the Czech Republic confirmed a drop in headline inflation to 1.6%yoy, driven by energy and transport. Goldman Sachs predicts the CNB will resume rate cuts later this year to reach a terminal rate of 2.75%.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Final January headline CPI for the Czech Republic was confirmed at +1.6%yoy, down from +2.1%yoy in December.
- 2.The decline in inflation was primarily driven by lower energy and transport costs, though energy prices may see further weakness as price reductions pass through.
- 3.Goldman Sachs remains more dovish than the CNB and consensus, forecasting a terminal policy rate of 2.75% later this year.
Table of Contents
- Monthly Headline and Inflation Breakdown
- Disclosure Appendix
- Reg AC
- Disclosures
- Regulatory disclosures
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Kevin DalyJohan Allen
Securities
CZKCzech National Bank Policy Rate
Themes
Central Bank DivergenceDisinflation
Regions
EuropeUnited States
