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Goldman Sachs

February 13, 2026

China Weekly Kickstart

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXConsumer DiscretionaryFinancials

Chinese equity markets were flat ahead of the Chinese New Year holidays, while new MSCI index review results are projected to bring $1.4bn in passive inflows.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.China equity markets were mostly flat during the week leading into the Chinese New Year holidays, with MXCN/CSI300 moving -0.2%/+0.4%.
  • 2.MSCI announced index review results effective Feb 27, which are expected to drive approximately US$1.4bn in net passive inflows to China.
  • 3.Goldman Sachs economists raised the 2026 full-year PPI inflation forecast to -0.5% and expect PPI to turn positive by late Q3 2026.

Table of Contents

  • Performance
  • Earnings and valuations
  • Flows
  • Policies and news
  • Key reports
  • Chart of the week: Chinese New Year Seasonality
  • Charts of the Week: MSCI Rebalancing
  • Charts of the Week: Proprietary Models and Barometers
  • Goldman Sachs' China strategy and economic view at a glance
  • Macro indicators summary
  • Performance snapshot: Global markets, commodities, FX and rates
  • Weekly performance summary
  • Sector performance
  • Relative performance of offshore China sectors
  • Relative performance of onshore China sectors
  • Earnings momentum and revisions
  • China valuations
  • Sector valuations
  • Regional valuations
  • Stock Connect weekly flows
  • Style investing monitor (China Offshore)
  • Style investing monitor (China Onshore)
  • China specific baskets performance
  • A/H premium and A-shares liquidity
  • Breakdown of the Chinese alphabet soup

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Authors

Kinger Lau, CFATimothy Moe, CFASi Fu, Ph.D.Kevin Wang, CFA

Securities

700 HKSHSZ300MXCN20 HK

Themes

Chinese New Year SeasonalityMSCI Index RebalancingPPI Inflation Recovery

Regions

Asia PacificEuropeGlobalChinaUnited StatesJapan