Goldman Sachs
February 15, 2026
China SAFE Data Suggest Elevated FX Inflows
Market ReportFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFinancials
China recorded US$94bn in net FX inflows in January 2026, primarily driven by a robust current account and high trade surplus conversion ratios. Despite foreign selling of RMB bonds, overall net external assets of commercial banks and official reserves increased.
Key Takeaways
- 1.China experienced significant net FX inflows of US$94bn in January 2026, though down from US$128bn in December, suggesting a continued FX settlement rush.
- 2.The current account was the primary driver of inflows, contributing US$65bn, with the goods trade surplus conversion ratio remaining high.
- 3.Official FX reserves rose to US$3,399bn, an increase of US$24bn after adjusting for valuation effects.
Table of Contents
- Bottom line:
- Main points:
- Disclosure Appendix
- Reg AC
- Disclosures
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Authors
Xinquan ChenAndrew TiltonHui ShanLisheng WangYuting YangChelsea Song
Securities
CGBLGBPBBNCD
Themes
China Capital InflowsRMB Bond Divestment
Regions
Asia PacificNorth AmericaUnited StatesChina
