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February 15, 2026

China SAFE Data Suggest Elevated FX Inflows

Market ReportFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFinancials

China recorded US$94bn in net FX inflows in January 2026, primarily driven by a robust current account and high trade surplus conversion ratios. Despite foreign selling of RMB bonds, overall net external assets of commercial banks and official reserves increased.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.China experienced significant net FX inflows of US$94bn in January 2026, though down from US$128bn in December, suggesting a continued FX settlement rush.
  • 2.The current account was the primary driver of inflows, contributing US$65bn, with the goods trade surplus conversion ratio remaining high.
  • 3.Official FX reserves rose to US$3,399bn, an increase of US$24bn after adjusting for valuation effects.

Table of Contents

  • Bottom line:
  • Main points:
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Reg AC
  • Disclosures

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Authors

Xinquan ChenAndrew TiltonHui ShanLisheng WangYuting YangChelsea Song

Securities

CGBLGBPBBNCD

Themes

China Capital InflowsRMB Bond Divestment

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaUnited StatesChina