Finvaulta
Bank of New Zealand logo
Bank of New Zealand

February 12, 2026

Research Markets Today

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXOther

Strong US jobs data for January has pushed back Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, leading to a flatter US Treasury curve. Meanwhile, the AUD hit a 3-year high as NZD/AUD dropped to its lowest level since 2013.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.A significantly stronger than expected US employment report (130k vs 65k expected) has shifted expectations for the first Fed rate cut from June to July.
  • 2.The AUD reached a three-year high above 0.71, supported by hawkish inflation comments from RBA's Deputy Governor Hauser.
  • 3.NZD/AUD has fallen below 0.85 for the first time since 2013 due to negative interest rate differentials with Australia.

Table of Contents

  • Events Round-Up
  • Good Morning
  • Coming Up
  • Currencies
  • Equities
  • Commodities
  • Interest Rates
  • NZ Government Bonds
  • NZBKBM and Swap Yields
  • NZD exchange rates
  • NZD/USD Forward Points
  • NZD/AUD Forward Points
  • Contact Details

Document Preview

Page 1 of 4
Page 1 of Research Markets Today
Subscribe for full access

Access the Full Report

Get unlimited access to institutional research reports with a 14-day free trial.

Authors

Jason Wong

Securities

NZD/USDS&P 500Brent CrudeUS 10-Year TreasuryNZX 50

Themes

Hawkish Monetary Policy ShiftResilient US EmploymentUS Fiscal Sustainability

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificUKUnited StatesNew ZealandAustralia