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World Gold Council

Report published August 17, 2026

World Gold Council Weekly Markets Monitor: Gold Rebounds to $4,391/oz on Cooling US Data

Source and citation context

Report date
August 17, 2026
Analysis as of
August 14, 2026

Finvaulta summarizes World Gold Council's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesCryptoDerivatives

The LBMA Gold Price PM rose 1.3% week-on-week to US$4,391/oz, lifting year-to-date returns to +0.5% on softer US economic data and reduced Fed hike expectations. Gold faces major technical resistance at its 200-day moving average of US$4,503/oz, while CTA short-covering in US Treasuries and ongoing ETF inflows provide tailwinds.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Gold prices climbed 1.3% week-on-week to US$4,391/oz, pushing year-to-date performance back into positive territory at +0.5%, supported by momentum, ETF inflows, and rising net futures longs.
  • 2.Subdued US inflation, weak retail sales (-0.6% MoM), and softer consumer sentiment reduced expectations for a September Fed rate hike, weighing on yields and supporting gold.
  • 3.From a technical perspective, gold has established a base above US$4,203/oz, facing key immediate resistance at the 200-day moving average of US$4,503/oz and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of US$4,574/oz.

Table of Contents

  • What you need to know – And breathe out...
  • All about Gold
  • Market movement across global trading sessions
  • The week ahead
  • Gold technicals
  • Market performance and positioning
  • Key Resources
  • Appendix 1
  • Gold Return Attribution Model (GRAM)
  • Last week's ECO data
  • Gold Drivers –10yr US Real Yields remain well supported, but still below the 2.58% high of 2023
  • 30yr US Bond Yields maintain their break higher from their three-year range
  • Gold Drivers – The USD remains under pressure after its rejection of key resistance
  • Food price inflation – something to watch for in Q3/Q4 ?
  • Key Technical data
  • COMEX positioning (tonnes)
  • Weekly COMEX futures positioning data
  • Weekly ETF Flows
  • Year-to-date ETF Flows
  • Gold market trading volumes
  • Appendix 2
  • Gold options volatility overview
  • Gold options delta skew
  • ETF Options: OI notional by strike
  • Future Options: OI notional by strike
  • Appendix 3
  • Technical Analysis Glossary
  • Important information and disclosures

Report data

Gold technicals - Daily chart and key moving averages — as of August 14, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
LBMA Gold Price PM4390.7 USD/ozWeekly performance of gold spot price ending Friday, 14 August 2026.
Global Gold ETF Weekly Flows3639.4 USD millionsTotal weekly global fund inflows across gold ETFs.
COMEX Managed Money Net Long Position441.3 tonnesManaged money net positioning in COMEX gold futures as of 11 August 2026.
US Retail Sales Advance MoM-0.6%Largest monthly decline in US retail sales since May 2025.
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment51.0 index pointsPreliminary UMich sentiment fell from 55.2 in July to 51.0 in August.
Source: LBMA / Bloomberg / World Gold Council; World Gold Council; CFTC / Bloomberg / World Gold Council; Bloomberg / World Gold Council; University of Michigan / Bloomberg. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Weekly Markets Monitor is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 17, 2026.

Part of the Weekly Markets Monitor series — view all 6 editions

  1. May 11WMM 11 May 2026 A seminal moment
  2. May 19WMM 18 May 2026 India’s import duty reversal
  3. Jun 1WMM 1 June 2026 Point of inflection
  4. Jun 8WMM 8 June 2026 Red Friday
  5. Jun 29WMM 29 June 2026 Nasty surprises

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Reported Data Context

  • LBMA Gold Price PM: 4390.7 USD/oz (2026-08-14) · Source: LBMA / Bloomberg / World Gold Council
  • Global Gold ETF Weekly Flows: 3639.4 USD millions (Week ending 2026-08-14) · Source: World Gold Council
  • COMEX Managed Money Net Long Position: 441.3 tonnes (2026-08-11) · Source: CFTC / Bloomberg / World Gold Council
  • US Retail Sales Advance MoM: -0.6 % (July 2026) · Source: Bloomberg / World Gold Council
  • University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment: 51.0 index points (August 2026 (Preliminary)) · Source: University of Michigan / Bloomberg

Securities

XAUDXYGLDCOMEX Gold FuturesGLDMIAUUS10YCO1

Themes

Gold Technical Trend Reversal and Resistance TestingMonetary Policy Divergence and Carry-Trade RisksTreasury Futures Short Squeeze PotentialFood and Energy Inflation Risks

Regions

GlobalNorth AmericaEuropeUnited StatesJapanChina