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Report published August 25, 2026

Westpac Morning Report: Global Risk Softens on Iran Sanctions, Tariffs, and Tech Pressure (August 25, 2026)

Source and citation context

Issuer
Westpac
Report date
August 25, 2026
Analysis as of
August 25, 2026

Authors / editors: Pat Bustamante (Author)

Finvaulta summarizes Westpac's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateCommoditiesDerivativesEquitiesConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy

Risk sentiment softened overnight driven by geopolitical friction from US sanctions on Iran, auto tariff threats against Canada, and tech stock losses ahead of Nvidia earnings. Government bond yields eased slightly, while commodities were mixed with oil falling 2.4% and gold gaining.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global risk sentiment softened amid US sanctions on Iran ('economic D-Day'), rising US-Canada trade tensions (50% auto tariffs), and potential new US tariffs on China.
  • 2.Equity markets weakened led by semiconductor and tech stocks ahead of Nvidia's earnings, while bond markets rallied slightly on reports the US Treasury may buy back higher-yielding debt.
  • 3.The US Chicago Fed National Activity Index dropped to -0.08 in July, indicating that US economic momentum slowed entering Q3.

Table of Contents

  • Key themes
  • Data snapshot
  • Financial Markets
  • Today’s key data and events
  • International Data

Report data

FX Last 24 hrs — as of August 25, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
US 10-year Treasury Yield4.70%Fell after reports that the US Treasury could use cash stockpile to buy back higher-yielding bonds.
WTI Crude Oil Price85.01 USD/bblFell despite US sanctions rhetoric against Iran.
AUD/USD Exchange Rate0.7150 USD per AUDDeclined ahead of RBA Minutes release.
Chicago Fed National Activity Index-0.08 index pointsIndicates US economy started losing momentum in Q3.
S&P/ASX 2009103 pointsLocal Australian equity index gain.
Source: Bloomberg; Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Pat Bustamante · Author

Reported Data Context

  • US 10-year Treasury Yield: 4.70 % (2026-08-25) · Source: Bloomberg
  • WTI Crude Oil Price: 85.01 USD/bbl (2026-08-25) · Source: Bloomberg
  • AUD/USD Exchange Rate: 0.7150 USD per AUD (2026-08-25) · Source: Bloomberg
  • Chicago Fed National Activity Index: -0.08 index points (2026-07) · Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
  • S&P/ASX 200: 9103 points (2026-08-25) · Source: Bloomberg

Securities

NVDAMUSTXSanDiskSPXAS51US 10-year Treasury noteAUDUSD

Themes

Geopolitical Sanctions and Middle East TensionsTrade Tariffs and ProtectionismSemiconductor Sector Volatility Ahead of Tech EarningsCentral Bank Policy and Rate Expectations

Regions

GlobalNorth AmericaAsia PacificAustraliaUnited StatesIran