Wells Fargo logo
Wells Fargo

Report published August 28, 2026

Wells Fargo Economics Week Ahead: U.S. Labor Market, Eurozone CPI, and Global Central Bank Outlook

Source and citation context

Report date
August 28, 2026
Analysis as of
August 28, 2026

Authors / editors: Tom Porcelli (Chief Economist), Tim Quinlan (Senior Economist), Sarah House (Senior Economist), Charlie Dougherty (Senior Economist), Michael Pugliese (Senior Economist), Jackie Benson (Economist), Shannon Grein (Economist), Nicole Cervi (Economist), Azhin Abdulkarim (Economic Analyst), Anagha Sridharan (Economic Analyst), Andrew Thompson (Economic Analyst)

Finvaulta summarizes Wells Fargo's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther

Wells Fargo previews the upcoming week's global economic data, led by an expected rebound in August U.S. nonfarm payrolls to 80K and an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Internationally, accelerating Eurozone CPI supports a September ECB rate hike, the Bank of Canada is expected to hold at 2.25%, and Q2 GDP prints are due for Australia, India, and Brazil.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.August U.S. nonfarm payroll growth is expected to rebound to 80K, with the unemployment rate ticking up slightly to 4.2%, signaling a balanced and gradually cooling labor market rather than a sharp downturn.
  • 2.Eurozone headline inflation is projected to accelerate to 3.4% YoY in August, bolstering the case for a 25 bps European Central Bank rate hike in September.
  • 3.The Bank of Canada is expected to keep its policy rate steady at 2.25% as solid Q2 growth and contained core inflation balance downside risks from U.S. trade tensions.

Table of Contents

  • U.S. Week Ahead
  • Employment • Friday
  • Advanced Economies
  • Eurozone CPI • Tuesday
  • Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Meeting • Wednesday
  • Australia GDP • Wednesday
  • Canada Labor Force Survey • Friday
  • Emerging Markets
  • India GDP • Tuesday
  • Brazil GDP • Tuesday
  • Economics Group
  • Required Disclosures

Report data

United States and International Indicator Releases — as of August 28, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls80 KWells Fargo August forecast rebounding from -23K prior
U.S. Unemployment Rate4.2%Wells Fargo forecast up from 4.1% in July
Eurozone CPI YoY3.4%Wells Fargo forecast up from 2.9% prior
Bank of Canada Policy Rate2.25%Wells Fargo forecast on hold at 2.25%
Australia GDP YoY1.9%Wells Fargo forecast slowing from 2.5% prior
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and Wells Fargo Economics. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Economics Week Ahead is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 28, 2026.

Part of the Economics Week Ahead series — view all 3 editions

  1. Jun 6Economics Week Ahead
  2. Jun 18Economics Week Ahead

Document Preview

Page 1 of 5
Page 1 of Wells Fargo Economics Week Ahead: U.S. Labor Market, Eurozone CPI, and Global Central Bank Outlook
Subscribe for full access

Access the Full Report

Get unlimited access to institutional research reports. Create an account to get started.

Authors / Editors

Tom Porcelli · Chief EconomistTim Quinlan · Senior EconomistSarah House · Senior EconomistCharlie Dougherty · Senior EconomistMichael Pugliese · Senior EconomistJackie Benson · EconomistShannon Grein · EconomistNicole Cervi · EconomistAzhin Abdulkarim · Economic AnalystAnagha Sridharan · Economic AnalystAndrew Thompson · Economic Analyst

Reported Data Context

  • U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls: 80 K (2026-08) · Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and Wells Fargo Economics
  • U.S. Unemployment Rate: 4.2 % (2026-08) · Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and Wells Fargo Economics
  • Eurozone CPI YoY: 3.4 % (2026-08) · Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and Wells Fargo Economics
  • Bank of Canada Policy Rate: 2.25 % (2026-09-02) · Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and Wells Fargo Economics
  • Australia GDP YoY: 1.9 % (2026-Q2) · Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and Wells Fargo Economics

Themes

U.S. Labor Market NormalizationGlobal Central Bank DivergenceTrade Policy and Geopolitical Headwinds

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesCanadaAustralia