Wells Fargo Economics
February 11, 2026
January Employment Strong Start Out of the Gate
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsHealth Care
January's employment report showed a strong 130K gain in nonfarm payrolls and a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.3%. This resilience likely puts further FOMC rate cuts on hold for the foreseeable future.
Key Takeaways
- 1.January nonfarm payrolls rose by 130K, significantly exceeding the consensus forecast of 65K and pushing the three-month average to 73K.
- 2.The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, signaling that the labor market is stabilizing rather than rapidly deteriorating.
- 3.Annual benchmark revisions revealed a major downward adjustment to 2024/early 2025 job levels, though recent momentum appears firmer.
Table of Contents
- Summary
- Monthly Change in Nonfarm Payrolls
- Recent Trend in Hiring Improves
- Required Disclosures
- Important Information for Non-U.S. Recipients
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Authors
Sarah HouseMichael PuglieseTom PorcelliNicole Cervi
Securities
Fed funds rate
Themes
Benchmark Data RevisionsLabor Market ResilienceMonetary Policy Inflexibility
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
