Report published September 28, 2026
UBS Research: Weekly Power Brief #81: Fundamentals Beyond the Headlines
UBS · September 28, 2026
UBS CIO reaffirms a positive stance on the 'Power and resources' thematic portfolio despite recent market volatility and headline concerns around AI pace and data center moratoriums. Field meetings with US electrical equipment and industrials management teams reveal robust long-cycle demand, expanding backlogs, and accelerating short-cycle orders.
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Finvaulta summarizes UBS's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Recent negative headlines regarding AI development guardrails, data center moratorium risks, and rate expectations create an attractive valuation entry point without impairing core earning power.
- 2.Electrification demand extends far beyond AI data centers, which represent only 8% of the projected USD 32tr global electrical infrastructure capex over the coming decade.
- 3.Management commentary across electrical equipment and industrial companies confirms robust long-cycle backlogs and accelerating short-cycle book-and-ship orders heading into 3Q results.
Table of Contents
- Weekly performance update
- Thoughts of the week
- A barrage of disquieting headlines—what do they mean for Power and resources?
- US industrial companies strike a positive tone into 3Q earnings
- Forgent Power Solutions
- Eaton
- Honeywell
- GE Vernova (not in P&R, but a peer to Siemens Energy and Mitsubishi Heavy)
- Glencore updates
- Quotes of the week
- Risk table
- 12-month CIO selection changes history
- Equity selection system
- Equity selection: An assessment relative to a benchmark
- Global asset class preferences definitions
- Current CIO GWM Americas global rating distribution
- Current UBS CIO global rating distribution (as of last month-end)
Report data
"Power and resources" selection list — as of August 27, 2026.
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Global electrical infrastructure capex forecast (next decade) | 32 USD tr | Total projected global electrical infrastructure investment forecast by UBS. |
| Data center share of global electrical infrastructure spending | 8% | Share of USD 32tr electrical infrastructure forecast represented by data centers. |
| Forgent Power Solutions fiscal Q4 book-to-bill ratio | 3.3 x | Reported book-to-bill ratio for Forgent Power Solutions. |
| Eaton data center purchase negotiation pipeline growth | 130% | Year-over-year pipeline expansion for data center equipment purchases at Eaton. |
| Glencore consensus net income expectation | 7 USD bn | Consensus 2026 earnings for Glencore compared to <USD 500mn litigation exposure. |
Reports in this series
Weekly Power Brief is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 28, 2026.
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