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Report published August 27, 2026

UBS Daily Update: Strait of Hormuz Toll Agreement, US PCE Inflation & BoK Rate Hike

Source and citation context

Issuer
UBS
Report date
August 27, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Paul Donovan

Finvaulta summarizes UBS's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsIndustrialsInformation Technology

UBS Chief Economist Paul Donovan reviews key daily macro developments, including Iran-Oman shipping toll agreements, expected US PCE inflation keeping Fed policy on hold, and a Bank of Korea rate hike driven by AI component export strength.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Iran and Oman agreed to share toll revenues from Strait of Hormuz shipping once reopened, indicating stricter post-war control rather than an imminent reopening.
  • 2.US PCE deflator inflation matched expectations, likely keeping Federal Reserve policy on hold, with reported inflation expected to decline near term due to calculation method changes.
  • 3.The Bank of Korea increased interest rates by 25 bps, supported by broad economic growth generated by global demand for artificial intelligence hardware components.

Table of Contents

  • Audio
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix
  • Risk information
  • Generic investment research – Risk information

Report data

Listen to today's 27 August update

MetricEstimateContext
Bank of Korea Policy Rate Change0.25 percentage pointsBank of Korea interest rate increase in an anticipated move supported by AI-driven growth
Source: Bank of Korea. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Paul Donovan's daily audio is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 27, 2026.

Part of the Paul Donovan's daily audio series — view all 23 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Audio en 1666151 (Sep 8, 2026)

  1. May 14Audio en 1659855
  2. Jun 4Audio en 1661061
  3. Jun 8Audio en 1661240
  4. Jun 11Audio en 1661392
  5. Jun 11Audio en 1661470
  6. Jun 15Audio en 1661604
  7. Jun 16Audio en 1661707
  8. Jun 17Audio en 1661797
  9. Jun 19Audio en 1662017
  10. Jul 1Audio en 1662663
  11. Jul 7Audio en 1662926
  12. Jul 8Audio en 1662989
  13. Jul 13Audio en 1663243
  14. Jul 22Audio en 1663765
  15. Aug 5Audio en 1664461
  16. Aug 17Audio en 1664952

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Authors / Editors

Paul Donovan

Reported Data Context

  • Bank of Korea Policy Rate Change: 0.25 percentage points (2026-08) · Source: Bank of Korea

Themes

Strait of Hormuz Toll Agreement & GeopoliticsUS Inflation & Monetary Policy OutlookAI Supply Chain Demand & Central Bank PolicyUS Tariffs & Trade Balance

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesIranOman