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Report published August 27, 2026

Gerdau: 2Q26 Credit Review and 2035 Bond Outlook – UBS

Source and citation context

Issuer
UBS
Report date
August 27, 2026
Analysis as of
August 27, 2026

Authors / editors: Donald McLauchlan (Latin America Credit Strategist)

Finvaulta summarizes UBS's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Single Stock ReportRates CreditMaterials

UBS CIO views Gerdau as a resilient investment-grade credit supported by strong 2Q26 earnings, low leverage of 1.2x, and ample liquidity. The analysts recommend the Gerdau 5.75% bond due June 2035 for a hold-to-maturity strategy.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Gerdau posted strong 2Q26 results, driven by favorable North American demand (renewables, data centers, manufacturing) and a higher domestic sales share in Brazil, with net revenue up 14.3% y-o-y and EBITDA jumping 50.2% y-o-y.
  • 2.Leverage decreased to a healthy 1.2x net debt/EBITDA with strong interest coverage of 5.8x and substantial liquidity buffers, including over USD 1.0bn in cash and an undrawn USD 875mn revolving credit facility.
  • 3.UBS CIO maintains a preference for the Gerdau 5.75% US SEC-registered bond maturing in June 2035 for a hold-to-maturity strategy, yielding 5.588% to its first call date.

Table of Contents

  • Sound 2Q26...
  • ...sound and stable debt ratios...
  • ...and the balance sheet is liquid
  • Stable IG status
  • Risk factors
  • Our bottom line
  • Required disclosures
  • UBS CIO risk views
  • UBS CIO valuation views
  • Sell recommendations
  • Issuer valuation views
  • Risk information

Report data

Table 1 - Gerdau - Quarterly financial data — as of August 27, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Net Revenues3539 USD mnQuarterly net revenue driven by higher realized prices and sales mix.
EBITDA679 USD mnQuarterly EBITDA expansion reflecting strong operating cash flow generation.
EBITDA Margin19.2%Quarterly EBITDA margin up from 14.6% in 2Q25 and 17.7% in 1Q26.
Leverage (Total Debt / LTM EBITDA)1.2 xCompany leverage remains low and manageable.
Yield-to-Worst (Gerdau 5.75% 2035)5.588%Yield-to-worst to first call date of 9 March 2035 at offer price of 101.084.
Source: Company reports. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Emerging markets bonds for all investors is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 27, 2026.

Part of the Emerging markets bonds for all investors series — view all 5 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Emerging markets bonds for all investors en 1665703 (Sep 2, 2026)

  1. Aug 26Emerging markets bonds for all investors en 1665595

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Authors / Editors

Donald McLauchlan · Latin America Credit Strategist

Reported Data Context

  • Net Revenues: 3539 USD mn (2Q26) · Source: Company reports
  • EBITDA: 679 USD mn (2Q26) · Source: Company reports
  • EBITDA Margin: 19.2 % (2Q26) · Source: Company reports
  • Leverage (Total Debt / LTM EBITDA): 1.2 x (2Q26 (LTM June 2026)) · Source: Company reports
  • Yield-to-Worst (Gerdau 5.75% 2035): 5.588 % (2026-08-27)

Securities

Gerdau S.A.Gerdau 5.75% June 2035

Themes

Emerging Market Corporate Credit QualityNorth American Infrastructure and Manufacturing Steel Demand

Regions

Latin AmericaNorth AmericaBrazilUnited StatesCanada