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Report published September 8, 2026

UBS Emerging Markets Bond List: Relative-Value Strategy & Credit Outlook (September 2026)

UBS · September 8, 2026

The UBS Emerging Markets Bond List provides comprehensive coverage of EM sovereign and corporate bonds across Asia, EMEA, GCC, and Latin America in USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, CNY, SGD, MXN, BRL, and AUD. It highlights top relative-value recommendations, credit outlooks, additions/deletions, and flagged Sell recommendations.

Read the remaining 4 pages

Finvaulta summarizes UBS's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The UBS CIO Top Emerging Markets Bond List details highest-conviction EM bond recommendations across Asia, EMEA, GCC, and Latin America, combining bottom-up issuer analysis with top-down relative value calls.
  • 2.A concentrated list of 'Sell' recommendations is assigned to New World Development bonds and perpetuals across USD tenors, driven by risks exceeding valuations and expectations of negative total returns until redemption.
  • 3.Relative-value recommendations saw multiple bonds downgraded from Attractive to Fair (including Aldar, Alibaba, Hanwha Life, OCP, Pertamina, and Prosus), while one bond (ESR REIT 6% Perp) was upgraded to Attractive.

Table of Contents

  • Guidance on bond characteristics
  • Guidance on credit ratings and subordinated bonds
  • Top Emerging Markets Bond List
  • Sell Recommendations
  • Changes to the recommendations
  • Additions and Deletions
  • Reference lists
  • Bonds in USD, Asia
  • Bonds in USD, EMEA
  • Bonds in USD, GCC
  • Bonds in USD, Latin America
  • Bonds in EUR, Asia
  • Bonds in EUR, EMEA
  • Bonds in EUR, GCC
  • Bonds in EUR, Latin America
  • Bonds in GBP, Asia
  • Bonds in GBP, GCC
  • Bonds in GBP, Latin America
  • Bonds in CHF, Asia
  • Bonds in CHF, EMEA
  • Bonds in CHF, GCC
  • Bonds in CHF, Latin America
  • Bonds in Chinese renminbi, Asia
  • Bonds in Singapore dollar, Asia
  • Bonds in Singapore dollar, GCC
  • Bonds in Mexican peso, Latin America
  • Bonds in Brazilian real, Latin America
  • Bonds in HKD, Asia
  • Bonds in AUD, Asia
  • Issuer descriptions and credit-risk flags
  • Sanctions notice
  • 12 month rating history
  • UBS CIO risk views
  • UBS CIO valuation views
  • Risk Information

Report data

Top Emerging Markets Bond List — as of September 8, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
AIA Group 4.95% 2035 Offer Yield5.4%Indicative yield for AIA subordinated Tier 2 bond maturing 30.03.2035.
Pemex 5.95% 2031 Offer Yield6.1%Indicative yield for Pemex bond maturing 28.01.2031.
Vedanta Resources 7.375% 2034 Offer Yield7.3%Indicative yield for Vedanta Resources bond maturing 13.07.2034.
New World Development 5.25% Perp Offer Yield12.7%Indicative yield for New World Development perpetual bond rated Sell.
Source: UBS. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Emerging Markets Bond List is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 8, 2026.

Part of the Emerging Markets Bond List series — view all 14 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Emerging Markets Bond List en 1667426 (Oct 5, 2026)

  1. Jun 22Emerging Markets Bond List en 1662040
  2. Jun 29Emerging Markets Bond List en 1662449
  3. Jul 13Emerging Markets Bond List en 1663153
  4. Aug 17Emerging Markets Bond List en 1664843

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Authors / Editors

Alberto Rojas · Investment Strategist, CIO Americas, UBS Financial Services Inc. (UBS FS)Alejo Czerwonko · Chief Investment Officer EM Americas, UBS Financial Services Inc. (UBS FS)Devinda Paranathanthri · Credit Strategist, UBS AG Singapore BranchDonald McLauchlan · LatAm Credit Strategist, UBS Financial Services Inc. (UBS FS)Emre Tekmen · CIO Credit Analyst CEEMEA, UBS Switzerland AGEve Li · Credit Strategist, UBS AG Hong Kong BranchJoel Tan · Credit Strategist, UBS AG Singapore BranchLaura Assis Iragorri · Credit Strategist, UBS Mexico City BranchMin Huey Chong · Credit Strategist, UBS AG Hong Kong BranchSantosh Bukitgar · CIO Credit Analyst CEEMEA, UBS Singapore BranchTatiana Boroditskaya · PhD, Analyst, UBS AG London BranchTimothy Tay · Chief Investment Officer Credit APAC, UBS AG Singapore BranchZixuan Liu · Credit Strategist, UBS AG Singapore Branch