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Report published September 29, 2026

Beneficiaries of Japan's Inflation: UBS Portfolio Positioning & Equity Strategy

UBS · September 29, 2026

UBS presents its 25-stock 'Beneficiaries of Japan's Inflation' equity preference list designed to outperform the TOPIX over the next 6 to 12 months. The portfolio focuses on quality high-ROE companies, corporate governance reformers, and financials poised to gain from BoJ rate normalization.

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Finvaulta summarizes UBS's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Japan is experiencing a sustainable inflationary environment for the first time in nearly 30 years, driving corporate governance reforms, increased capex, and share buybacks.
  • 2.UBS recommends quality Japanese equities with high ROE, share buyback potential, and exposure to moderate inflation and wage growth to outperform the TOPIX over the next 6 to 12 months.
  • 3.Bank of Japan policy rate normalization is projected to lift rates by an additional 50 bps over the next 12 months to 1.5%, providing strong earnings tailwinds to mega-banks and regional banks.

Table of Contents

  • Equity preferences
  • Positioning and key trends
  • Equity selection

Report data

Most Preferred — as of September 29, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Expected BoJ Rate Hikes50 bpsLifting the BoJ policy rate to 1.5% for the first time since the 1990s
Projected BoJ Policy Rate1.5%Expected terminal policy rate milestone
Number of Most Preferred Constituents25 stocksActive constituents in the Beneficiaries of Japan's Inflation equity preference list
Advantest Global SoC Tester Market Share70%Advantest market share in System-on-Chip tester market
Ibiden Market Share of GPU Substrates for NVIDIA70%Market share of GPU substrate packages supplied to NVIDIA
Source: UBS CIO Macro team; UBS. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Equity Preference List is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 29, 2026.

Part of the Equity Preference List series — view all 13 editions

Looking for the latest edition? UBS Equity Preference List Beneficiaries of Japan s inflation Closure 2026 10 05 (Oct 5, 2026)

  1. Sep 4UBS Equity Preference List European Healthcare 2026 09 04
  2. Sep 17UBS Equity Preference List European Automobiles 2026 09 17
  3. Sep 22UBS Equity Preference List Greater China Alpha Opportunities 2026 09 22
  4. Sep 24UBS Equity Preference List European Healthcare 2026 09 24

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