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The Market Ear

February 16, 2026

SaaS Apocalypse

Market ReportEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsInformation Technology

SaaS stocks have plunged 24% despite rising earnings estimates, resulting in a record divergence from the NDX and a historic dislocation relative to semiconductors.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.SaaS stocks have experienced a severe 24% decline over the last three months despite earnings estimates rising by 5%.
  • 2.The correlation between the Nasdaq-100 (NDX) and the software sector (IGV) has broken down, reaching the widest divergence on record.
  • 3.Hedge fund exposure to SaaS is at extremely low percentiles, while the sector (IGV) has hit a major support line.

Table of Contents

  • SaaS-apocalypse
  • SaaS nets
  • SaaS gross
  • Trading trend
  • Stocks lead...
  • Not friends anymore
  • That dislocation
  • You have reached the support line

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