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Report published September 23, 2026

Market Wrap-Up: Tight Spread but High Yields Keep Markets Guessing – Société Générale Credit Daily

Société Générale · September 23, 2026

European credit spreads have widened modestly in September to 97bp but remain tight at one standard deviation below their historical mean. However, elevated corporate bond yields (4.31%) and superior Sharpe ratios compared to government bonds continue to support credit demand.

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Finvaulta summarizes Société Générale's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Credit spreads have widened 6bp in September to 97bp over benchmarks, yet remain historically tight at one standard deviation below the long-term mean.
  • 2.Despite tight spreads, absolute yield on the iBoxx Corporates index is at 4.31%—the highest level of the year—making credit attractive compared to prior decades.
  • 3.Primary bond issuance remains resilient and ahead of pace, reaching €92.8bn month-to-date in September, €2.1bn higher than September of the prior year.

Table of Contents

  • Market highlights
  • Today's new issues
  • Market thoughts
  • iBoxx Corporates spread to benchmarks at one standard deviation below the mean
  • iBoxx Corporates yield
  • Sharpe ratios show credit is still more attractive

Report data

iBoxx Corporates spread to benchmarks at one standard deviation below the mean

MetricEstimateContext
Eurozone Preliminary Composite PMI53.1 index pointsSeptember flash PMI surprised on the upside in both Germany and France.
10y German Bund Yield3.49%German 10y sovereign bond yield closed almost 3bp higher on the day.
iBoxx Corporates Spread to Benchmarks97 bpSpread widened 6bp from the end of August, sitting at one standard deviation below the historical mean.
iBoxx Corporates Yield4.31%Yield reached its highest level of the year, driven by the sovereign debt sell-off.
September EUR Primary Bond Issuance92.8 EUR billionMonth-to-date EUR corporate and financial bond issuance.
Source: Markit, SG Cross Asset Research/Credit; Bloomberg, SG Cross Asset Research/Credit. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Market Wrap-up is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 23, 2026.

Part of the Market Wrap-up series — view all 11 editions

  1. Sep 15Credit Market Wrap up The bear case for credit
  2. Sep 16Credit Market Wrap up The bullish case for credit II
  3. Sep 21Credit Market Wrap up Default rates move in opposite directions, but does it matter
  4. Sep 22Credit Market Wrap up Heavy Tech issuance is not enough to overwhelm the credit markets

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