Report published September 30, 2026
US 30-Year Yield at Its Highest Level Since 2002: SEB Nordic Alert
SEB · September 30, 2026
US 30-year yields reached their highest level since 2002 at over 5.6%, pushing the US dollar stronger against major peers including EUR and SEK. Meanwhile, Swedish economic confidence reached multi-year highs as markets anticipate US PCE inflation data and potential quarter-end rebalancing flows.
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Key Takeaways
- 1.The US 30-year Treasury yield briefly breached 5.6%, reaching its highest level since 2002, with 30-year TIPS yielding ~3.3% real.
- 2.The US dollar strengthened broadly, driving EUR/USD to 1.1312, its lowest level since May of the previous year.
- 3.Oil dropped 2.5% to $103.1/barrel on higher Middle East delivery signs, alleviating some upward pressure on European yields.
Table of Contents
- Global key stories
- Nordic key stories
- Today's key events
- Market data
Report data
Today's key events
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| US 30-Year Government Bond Yield | 5.6% | Briefly moved above 5.6%, reaching its highest level since 2002. |
| US 30-Year TIPS Real Yield | 3.3% | Annual real returns offered by 30-year inflation-protected Treasury bonds. |
| Brent Crude Oil Price | 103.1 USD/barrel | Fell on signs of increased Middle East supply deliveries. |
| EUR/USD Exchange Rate | 1.1312 | Lowest level since May of previous year. |
Reports in this series
Nordic Alert is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 30, 2026.
Part of the Nordic Alert series — view all 28 editions
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