What's Priced In

Latest edition · June 29, 2026

Whats priced in - 2026-06-29

This report outlines market-implied interest rate expectations for G10 central banks, focusing on the Riksbank, Norges Bank, and the ECB. It compares these market valuations against current SEB internal forecasts.

The document serves as a data-heavy reference for fixed-income investors, detailing current market pricing for major policy rates across the G10. It features granular tables for the Riksbank and Norges Bank, contrasting market-implied forward rates with SEB's internal projections. The publication highlights specific discrepancies that may indicate shifting consensus regarding future central bank monetary policy stances.

Key takeaways from the latest edition

• 1.The report provides a snapshot of current market-implied policy rate expectations for the Riksbank, Norges Bank, and various G10 central banks as of June 29, 2026.

What this series covers

• Market pricing
• The Riksbank
• Norges Bank
• ECB
• G10, summary
• G10 Policy rates: Priced-in
• Policy rates: Priced - cumulative change
• G10 Policy rates priced-in: Dec-26 2Y fwd

Edition archive

• Whats priced in - 2026-06-29

  June 29, 2026

• Whats priced in - 2026-06-16

  June 16, 2026

• Whats priced in - 2026-06-11

  June 11, 2026

• Whats priced in - 2026-06-05

  June 6, 2026

• Whats priced in - 2026-06-02

  June 2, 2026

• Whats priced in - 2026-05-28

  May 28, 2026