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Report published August 28, 2026

Latam Daily: Chilean Unemployment Extends Rise to 9.5% – Scotiabank

Source and citation context

Report date
August 28, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Aníbal Alarcón, Juan Manuel Herrera, Jorge Selaive, Eduardo Suárez

Finvaulta summarizes Scotiabank's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

Chile's unemployment rate rose to 9.5% in the three months ending July, above consensus expectations of 9.4%. The period saw total employment decline year-on-year for the first time in over five years, compounded by adverse El Niño-related weather disruptions.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Chile's unemployment rate climbed to 9.5% in the rolling quarter ending in July, slightly exceeding the 9.4% market consensus.
  • 2.Total employment registered its first year-on-year contraction in over five years, driven by a slowdown in informal job creation alongside formal job losses of 54k.
  • 3.Weather disruptions linked to El Niño exacerbated labour weakness in July, accounting for a notable portion of the 89k jobs lost during the period.

Table of Contents

  • CHILE: UNEMPLOYMENT RATE RISES TO 9.5%, EXCEEDING CONSENSUS EXPECTATIONS

Report data

Chart 1

MetricEstimateContext
Unemployment Rate9.5%Chile headline unemployment rate exceeding consensus expectations of 9.4%
Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Rate9.3%Stability reflected equivalent declines in both labour force and employment
Total Jobs Lost89 kRoughly half attributed to non-seasonal deterioration and weather disruptions
Formal Employment Change-54 kFormal employment falling by 54k jobs
Source: INE, Scotiabank Economics. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Aníbal AlarcónJuan Manuel HerreraJorge SelaiveEduardo Suárez

Reported Data Context

  • Unemployment Rate: 9.5 % (Three-month period ending July 2026) · Source: INE, Scotiabank Economics
  • Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Rate: 9.3 % (Three-month period ending July 2026) · Source: INE, Scotiabank Economics
  • Total Jobs Lost: 89 k (Three-month period ending July 2026) · Source: INE, Scotiabank Economics
  • Formal Employment Change: -54 k (Three-month period ending July 2026) · Source: INE, Scotiabank Economics

Themes

Chilean Labour Market SlackWeather-Related Economic Disruption

Regions

Latin AmericaChile