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Scotiabank

February 5, 2026

Daily Points

Daily UpdateEquitiesFXMacro Economic IndicatorsFinancialsIndustrials

The report highlights a massive $540B cap-ex guidance for the Mag7 tech companies while noting a dovish shift from the Bank of England and surging US layoffs. German factory orders provided a surprise positive data point amid mixed global economic signals.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Mag7 capital expenditure is projected to surge to approximately $540 billion in 2026, representing a significant portion of US investment activity.
  • 2.The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% but provided dovish guidance, suggesting further rate reductions are likely.
  • 3.US labor market signals are mixed, with January layoffs soaring to 108.4k while hiring activity significantly declined.

Table of Contents

  • MAG7 CAP-EX — BOON OR BANE?
  • German Factories are Crushing It
  • BoE Guidance Drives Strong Easing Bets
  • ECB and Banxico to Hold
  • US Layoffs Soared in January
  • BoC's Macklem to Speak

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Authors

Derek Holt

Securities

NVDAGOOGAmazonUPSDow

Themes

AI-Driven Capital Expenditure ConcentrationCentral Bank Policy DivergenceUS Labor Market Weakness

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesCanadaUnited Kingdom