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Report published August 28, 2026

Scotiabank Daily FX Update: USD Holds Tight Range Ahead of Jackson Hole

Source and citation context

Report date
August 28, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Shaun Osborne, Eric Theoret

Finvaulta summarizes Scotiabank's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt Bonds

The USD trades in a narrow range ahead of Fed Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole appearance and US benchmark payroll revisions. Major currency pairs are subdued, with high yielders slightly outperforming while the JPY lags despite recent Japanese currency intervention.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The USD remains in a tight range and narrowly mixed ahead of Fed Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole address and benchmark payroll revisions.
  • 2.The CAD holds flat ahead of Canadian Q2 GDP figures, which are anticipated to rebound firmly above 3% SAAR.
  • 3.EUR is soft despite supportive European inflation data reinforcing ECB hawkishness and expectations for a 25 bps hike in September.

Table of Contents

  • Analyst Team
  • Overview
  • Fed Funds vs. Futures Implied Yields
  • USD Holds Tight Range Ahead of Warsh
  • TODAY'S CALENDAR

Report data

Fed Funds vs. Futures Implied Yields

MetricEstimateContext
Canada Q2 GDP Growth (Annualized)3.4%Consensus forecast for Canada Q2 annualized GDP vs -0.1% previous.
Japan Foreign Exchange Intervention Total96.4 USD billionReported aggregate intervention effort to support the Japanese yen.
Tokyo Headline CPI1.9 % y/yOvernight release of Tokyo CPI printing in line with expectations.
Bank of Japan Rate Hike Pricing for September21 bpsShort-term rates markets pricing for the upcoming BoJ monetary policy meeting.
Source: Scotiabank FICC Strategy / Macrobond; Media / BoJ / MoF. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Daily FX Update is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 28, 2026.

Part of the Daily FX Update series — view all 23 editions

Looking for the latest edition? G10 FX Daily (Sep 2, 2026)

  1. May 10G10 FX Daily
  2. May 11G10 FX Daily
  3. May 13G10 FX Daily
  4. May 21G10 FX Daily
  5. May 25G10 FX Daily
  6. May 26G10 FX Daily
  7. May 28G10 FX Daily
  8. Jun 1G10 FX Daily
  9. Jun 2G10 FX Daily
  10. Jun 4G10 FX Daily
  11. Jun 6G10 FX Daily
  12. Jun 8G10 FX Daily
  13. Jun 9G10 FX Daily
  14. Jun 11G10 FX Daily
  15. Jun 17G10 FX Daily
  16. Jun 29G10 FX Daily
  17. Jul 13G10 FX Daily
  18. Jul 14G10 FX Daily
  19. Aug 17G10 FX Daily
  20. Aug 25G10 FX Daily
  21. Aug 27G10 FX Daily

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Authors / Editors

Shaun OsborneEric Theoret

Reported Data Context

  • Canada Q2 GDP Growth (Annualized): 3.4 % (Q2 2026) · Source: Scotiabank FICC Strategy / Macrobond
  • Japan Foreign Exchange Intervention Total: 96.4 USD billion (July 30 to August 26, 2026) · Source: Media / BoJ / MoF
  • Tokyo Headline CPI: 1.9 % y/y (August 2026)
  • Bank of Japan Rate Hike Pricing for September: 21 bps (September 18, 2026 meeting)

Securities

AUDUSDDXYUSDJPYEURUSDGBPUSDUSDCAD

Themes

Central Bank Policy and Jackson Hole GuidanceG10 FX Technical Momentum and Range Dynamics

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesCanadaGermany