Report published September 24, 2026
Keep the Main Thing the Main Thing: RiskHedge September 2026 Monthly Update
RiskHedge · September 24, 2026
RiskHedge's Disruption X September 2026 issue advises investors to ignore macro volatility, rate hikes, and Middle East conflict, and stay focused on the accelerating AI infrastructure buildout. It reviews portfolio positions across eight high-conviction holdings including Credo, Redwire, Symbotic, Innodata, Digi Power X, SiTime, Tempus AI, and Evolv, reiterating hold or buy ratings.
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Finvaulta summarizes RiskHedge's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Macro noise, rising rates, and oil shocks should be ignored; the structural AI infrastructure buildout remains in hyper-growth and is accelerating.
- 2.Tech valuations have compressed from 29x to 22x forward P/E despite stock gains, indicating earnings growth is outpacing price appreciation, contrary to bubble narratives.
- 3.Soaring national debt passing $40T and $1T annual interest payments reinforce the necessity of owning pricing-power equities over cash.
Table of Contents
- Keep the main thing the main thing
- AI demand is outstripping supply
- AI usage per person is going vertical
- The buildout is accelerating
- The money is real
- Valuations are calm
- Where I could be wrong
- You must own assets
- Our portfolio, measured against our North Star
- Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (CRDO)
- Redwire Corp. (RDW)
- Symbotic (SYM)
- Innodata (INOD)
- Digi Power X (DGXX)
- SiTime (SITM)
- Tempus AI (TEM)
- Evolv Technologies Holdings (EVLV)
Report data
AI Buildout Health Gauges — as of September 22, 2026.
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 10-Year US Treasury Yield | 5.0% | Reached 5% for the first time since 2007 amid renewed inflation and Fed rate hikes. |
| Tech Forward Price-to-Earnings Ratio | 22 ratio | Fell from about 29 to 22 since April 2025 as earnings growth outpaced 75% stock price appreciation. |
| Anthropic Annual Revenue Run-Rate | 47.0 USD billions | Surged from $1B at the start of 2025 and $9B by late 2025 to over $47B by May 2026. |
| US National Debt | 40.0 USD trillions | Passed $40 trillion, quadrupling from 2008 levels. |
| Credo Fiscal Q1 2027 Revenue | 479.0 USD millions | More than doubled year over year, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of triple-digit growth. |
Reports in this series
Disruption X is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 24, 2026.
- Aug 1260827 DX Newsletter
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