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Report published July 23, 2026

Up & Adam: Global Economic Risks, Consumer Resilience, and AI Market Trends (July 23, 2026)

Raymond James · July 23, 2026

This report highlights rising market volatility driven by geopolitical conflict and policy uncertainty, while noting resilience in consumer spending and strength in AI-related tech sector earnings.

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Finvaulta summarizes Raymond James's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.World Bank warns that the ongoing Iran conflict may drive global GDP growth as low as 1.3%.
  • 2.Consumer spending remains resilient despite inflation, evidenced by record purchase volumes from Synchrony and Capital One.
  • 3.Rising policy uncertainty, linked to geopolitical conflict and midterm elections, is expected to increase market volatility.

Table of Contents

  • Previous Close
  • Today's Events
  • As Iran Conflict Drags On, World Bank Warns Of Worst-Case Scenario
  • Despite Inflationary Pressures, Credit Card Companies Point To Strength In Consumer Spending
  • Next Week's Fed Meeting (7/28-7/29) Is Back In Focus As 2-Year Treasury Yield Closes At 17-Month High
  • Alphabet Kicks Off Mega-Cap Earnings On A Strong Note
  • Rising Policy Uncertainty—Not Solely Due To Iran—May Lead To Increased Volatility
  • Sector Performance

Report data

Chart of the Day: Policy Uncertainty On The Rise — as of July 22, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Global GDP Growth2.5%Base case forecast
Hyperscaler Capex760 billionConsensus forecast
Source: World Bank. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Up & Adam is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on July 23, 2026.

Part of the Up & Adam series — view all 19 editions

  1. Jun 29Up and Adam
  2. Jul 13Up and Adam
  3. Jul 21Up and Adam
  4. Jul 22Up and Adam

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