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Report published August 24, 2026

Raymond James Fixed Income Weekly Primer: Treasury Yield Volatility, Buyback Expansion, and Fed Policy Outlook

Source and citation context

Report date
August 24, 2026
Analysis as of
August 24, 2026

Finvaulta summarizes Raymond James's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Weekly UpdateRates Govt BondsRates CreditEquitiesFinancials

Fixed income yields moved higher across Treasuries, corporates, and municipals despite the Treasury's announcement doubling long-term buybacks. Key catalysts ahead include July PCE inflation data and FOMC Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Treasury yields ended the week 2 to 7 bps higher across the curve as an initial rally driven by Treasury buyback expansion reversed amid fiscal deficit concerns, corporate issuance, and geopolitical tensions.
  • 2.The U.S. Treasury announced it would at least double buyback operations for 10- to 30-year Treasuries, indicating official concern over long-term yield levels.
  • 3.Key upcoming events include Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's Iran economic plan, July Core PCE data, and FOMC Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech.

Table of Contents

  • Fixed Income Solutions

Report data

Fixed Income and Equities Market Rates Table — as of August 24, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
10-Year Treasury Yield4.740%Yield on the 10-year US Treasury benchmark
30-Year Treasury Yield5.270%Yield on the 30-year US Treasury benchmark
Core PCE YoY (Survey)3.3%Bloomberg survey estimate for July Core PCE YoY
Brokered CD Average Rate (3M to 1Y)3.90%Average rate for 3-month to 1-year brokered CD maturities
Source: Bloomberg LP, Raymond James; Bloomberg surveys; Raymond James. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Fixed Income Weekly Primer is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 24, 2026.

Part of the Fixed Income Weekly Primer series — view all 8 editions

Looking for the latest edition? tfi weekly primer (Aug 31, 2026)

  1. May 13tfi weekly primer
  2. May 19tfi weekly primer
  3. Jun 2tfi weekly primer
  4. Jun 9tfi weekly primer
  5. Jun 15tfi weekly primer
  6. Jul 20tfi weekly primer

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Reported Data Context

  • 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.740 % (2026-08-24) · Source: Bloomberg LP, Raymond James
  • 30-Year Treasury Yield: 5.270 % (2026-08-24) · Source: Bloomberg LP, Raymond James
  • Core PCE YoY (Survey): 3.3 % (July 2026) · Source: Bloomberg surveys
  • Brokered CD Average Rate (3M to 1Y): 3.90 % (Week ended 2026-08-24) · Source: Raymond James

Securities

SPXU.S. 10-year TreasuryU.S. 30-Year Treasury

Themes

Federal Reserve Policy UncertaintyTreasury Buybacks and Yield Dynamics

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastUnited StatesIran