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Report published September 23, 2026

Weekly Market Guide: Mag 7 Breakout, Fed Policy & Market Leadership | Raymond James

Raymond James Investment Management · September 23, 2026

Raymond James notes that equity leadership has rotated back to mega-cap technology and the 'Mag 7' following the Federal Reserve's rate hike. While near-term chop and yield curve flattening present headwinds for sectors like banking, lower oil prices and resilient growth support an upward bias over the next 12 months.

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Finvaulta summarizes Raymond James Investment Management's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Market leadership has rotated back toward mega-cap technology and growth assets ('Mag 7') breaking out to new highs following the Fed's latest rate decision.
  • 2.Oil price movements serve as a primary indicator for equities, as lower crude prices relieve pressure on Treasury yields and support equity valuations.
  • 3.A flattening yield curve driven by rising 2-year Treasury yields has pressured bank stocks toward near-term technical support.

Table of Contents

  • Oil and Bond Yields
  • Breakout: Mag 7
  • Fed
  • US Dollar
  • Yield Curve
  • Oil & Gas Refining

Report data

USGG10YR Index (US Generic Govt 10 Yr) 0810yrSPX Daily 23SEP2025-23SEP2026 — as of September 23, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
S&P 500 Price Return Year to Date13.4%Price performance of the S&P 500 index year to date as of September 23, 2026.
Energy Sector Price Return Year to Date37.6%Top performing S&P 500 sector year to date.
Information Technology Sector Weighting in S&P 50039.3%Weight of Information Technology in the S&P 500 index.
Federal Reserve Rate Hike25 bpsThe Fed attempted to remove accommodation with a 25-basis-point rate hike.
Oil & Gas Refiners Performance since Late February>100%Gain in oil & gas refiners since the onset of the Iran conflict.
Source: FactSet. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Weekly Market Guide is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 23, 2026.

Part of the Weekly Market Guide series — view all 6 editions

  1. May 25weekly market guide
  2. Jun 6weekly market guide
  3. Aug 26weekly market guide
  4. Sep 9weekly market guide

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