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Piper Sandler

February 9, 2026

Balance Sheet Insights Quarterly ALM Considerations

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Piper Sandler reviews Q4 2025 ALM considerations, highlighting the Fed's 50bps of rate cuts and the yield curve's move to a marginally positive slope after three years of inversion.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25bps in both October and December 2025, following a previous cut in September.
  • 2.The yield curve (Fed Funds to five years) has transitioned from a three-year inversion to a marginally positive slope.
  • 3.Expectations for future rate cuts have moderated due to persistent inflation, employment data, and fiscal policy uncertainty.

Table of Contents

  • Quarterly ALM Considerations – Q4 2025
  • CONTACTS
  • DISCLAIMER

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Authors

Matt C. BrunnerScott Hildenbrand

Securities

Fed funds rate

Themes

Yield Curve NormalizationMonetary Policy EasingDepository Margin Management

Regions

North AmericaUnited States
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