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Piper Sandler

February 9, 2026

Balance Sheet Insights Quarterly ALM Considerations

Market ReportEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFinancials

Piper Sandler reviews Q4 2025 ALM considerations, highlighting the Fed's 50bps of rate cuts and the yield curve's move to a marginally positive slope after three years of inversion.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25bps in both October and December 2025, following a previous cut in September.
  • 2.The yield curve (Fed Funds to five years) has transitioned from a three-year inversion to a marginally positive slope.
  • 3.Expectations for future rate cuts have moderated due to persistent inflation, employment data, and fiscal policy uncertainty.

Table of Contents

  • Quarterly ALM Considerations – Q4 2025
  • CONTACTS
  • DISCLAIMER

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Authors

Matt C. BrunnerScott Hildenbrand

Securities

Fed funds rate

Themes

Depository Margin ManagementMonetary Policy EasingYield Curve Normalization

Regions

North AmericaUnited States