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Report published September 29, 2026

Pictet Research: PTS Technical Views on Currencies, Commodities & 10Y Yield

Pictet · September 29, 2026

The tactical US dollar recovery is broadening following DXY's breakout above 100.36, exerting downward pressure across major currencies and precious metals. Concurrently, US and global benchmark sovereign bond yields continue impulsive wave-3 advances, led by the US 10-year yield targeting 5.37%.

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Finvaulta summarizes Pictet's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The tactical US Dollar recovery is broadening as DXY breaks above 100.36 to target 101.80 and 102.86, pressuring EUR/USD towards 1.1324 and GBP/USD towards 1.3097.
  • 2.US Treasury yields remain in impulsive advances with the 10-year yield clearing 5.15% to target 5.37%, though overbought momentum warns of near-term consolidation.
  • 3.Precious metals face heavy corrective pressure as gold tests the 4,130–4,144 support zone and silver breaks below 61.02, while WTI crude holds key breakout support at 91.58.

Table of Contents

  • The tactical US-dollar recovery continues to broaden, precious under pressure
  • Forex: Major Pairs
  • Forex: Minor Pairs
  • Commodities
  • Govt. Bond Yields

Report data

PTS Technical Views: Currencies, commodities, govt. bond yields* — as of September 29, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
DXY Last Price101.37 index pointsConstructive above 100.36 breakout level, targeting 101.80 then 102.86.
EUR/USD Last Price1.1364 rateSuccessive support breaks expose 1.1324 then 1.1221.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield5.23%Breakout above 5.15% targets 5.37%, with 5.77% as a conditional range objective.
Germany 10-Year Bund Yield3.63%Breakout above 3.35% remains intact, targeting 3.66%.
Gold Last Price4136.40 USD/ozCorrection approaches 4,130–4,144; below this zone, focus on the 3,955 low.
Source: FactSet financial data and analytics. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

PTS Technical Views is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 29, 2026.

Part of the PTS Technical Views series — view all 3 editions

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