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Report published August 26, 2026

Mizuho Multi-Asset Strategy Daily: Global Duration Buying and Rates Outlook (August 26, 2026)

Source and citation context

Report date
August 26, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Evelyne Gomez

Finvaulta summarizes Mizuho Securities's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEquitiesEnergy

Lower oil prices following Iran-Oman discussions over a Hormuz shipping corridor sparked a global sovereign duration rally. Mizuho views chasing the USD rates rally ahead of Jackson Hole as unappealing, preferring to tactically trade the 4.60-4.75% 10Y UST yield range.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Discussions between Iran and Oman over a temporary shipping corridor through Hormuz led to a sharp decline in crude oil, triggering a global duration rally.
  • 2.In USD rates, the risk-reward to chase the duration rally ahead of Jackson Hole is unappealing; tactical bias is to trade within the 4.60-4.75% 10Y UST yield range.
  • 3.In Europe, energy prices rather than domestic data drive ECB pricing, and the sell-off in European sovereign bonds should be faded with 10Y Bund yields below 3.20%.

Table of Contents

  • USD
  • EUR
  • GBP
  • JPY
  • Important Information
  • Disclaimer

Report data

Key figures extracted from this report

MetricEstimateContext
Brent Crude Price87 $/bblCrude oil price holding onto Tuesday's decline amid Hormuz corridor negotiations.
10Y UST Yield Tactical Range4.60-4.75%Target tactical range for US 10Y Treasury yields ahead of Jackson Hole.
10Y German Bund Yield3.20%10Y Bund yield pulled back below 3.20% following oil drop.
US 5Y Treasury Auction Size70 USD billionUpcoming 5-year UST auction scheduled for today.
German Long-End DBR Supply2 EUR billionGerman sovereign bond supply scheduled for today.

Reports in this series

Multi-Asset Strategy Daily is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 26, 2026.

Part of the Multi-Asset Strategy Daily series — view all 5 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Strategy Daily (Sep 6, 2026)

  1. Aug 17Strategy Daily

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Authors / Editors

Evelyne Gomez

Reported Data Context

  • Brent Crude Price: 87 $/bbl (Current)
  • 10Y UST Yield Tactical Range: 4.60-4.75 % (Near-term / Tactical)
  • 10Y German Bund Yield: 3.20 % (Current)
  • US 5Y Treasury Auction Size: 70 USD billion (Today)
  • German Long-End DBR Supply: 2 EUR billion (Today)

Securities

US 10-year Treasury noteBrent Crude OilGerman 10-year BundNVDA

Themes

Central Bank Policy Expectations (Fed, ECB, BoE)Oil Price De-escalation & Sovereign Duration

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesGermanyItaly