Mizuho EMEA
February 13, 2026
Multi Asset Strategy Daily
Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXInformation Technology
Mizuho analyzes the impact of the US CPI print and recent AI-stock volatility on global rates and equity markets. The strategist highlights a disconnect between UK rate pricing and fundamentals while noting strong demand for US duration.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Focus is on US January core CPI data, which may firm due to seasonality and new weights, but is unlikely to shift the Fed's path given strong payroll data.
- 2.Recent market volatility was driven by a 'meltdown in AI-stocks' and elevated valuations, triggering systematic selling and a risk-off shift in rates.
- 3.GBP rates appear mispriced relative to weak economic fundamentals, suggesting room for deeper rate cuts if upcoming data surprises to the downside.
Table of Contents
- USD
- EUR
- GBP
- JPY
- Important Information
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Evelyne Gomez-Liechti
Securities
XAUUS TreasuriesJapanese Government BondsGerman BundsFrench OATs
Themes
AI Stock MeltdownDuration DemandMonetary Policy Divergence
Regions
North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesFranceGermany
