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BoE MPC Meeting February 2026

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The Bank of England narrowly voted 5-4 to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% in February 2026. However, dovish shifts in voting and lower inflation forecasts have led markets to anticipate a rate cut as early as April.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The BoE MPC kept the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% in a surprisingly narrow 5-4 vote.
  • 2.Financial markets have pulled forward rate cut expectations, with a June cut fully priced and an April cut seen as highly probable.
  • 3.Inflation is now projected to return to the 2.0% target by Q3 2026, significantly earlier than previous estimates.

Table of Contents

  • BoE narrowly votes to keep rates unchanged
  • Governor's lone shift tilts the scales towards no change
  • Forecast revisions support prospect of further rate cuts
  • Market Insights Team
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Nikesh Sawjani

Securities

UK Bank Rate

Themes

Economic StagnationInflation ConvergenceMonetary Policy Easing

Regions

UKUnited Kingdom

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