Lloyds Bank Market Insights
February 5, 2026
BoE MPC Meeting February 2026
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther
The Bank of England narrowly voted 5-4 to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% in February 2026. However, dovish shifts in voting and lower inflation forecasts have led markets to anticipate a rate cut as early as April.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The BoE MPC kept the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% in a surprisingly narrow 5-4 vote.
- 2.Financial markets have pulled forward rate cut expectations, with a June cut fully priced and an April cut seen as highly probable.
- 3.Inflation is now projected to return to the 2.0% target by Q3 2026, significantly earlier than previous estimates.
Table of Contents
- BoE narrowly votes to keep rates unchanged
- Governor's lone shift tilts the scales towards no change
- Forecast revisions support prospect of further rate cuts
- Market Insights Team
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Nikesh Sawjani
Securities
UK Bank Rate
Themes
Economic StagnationInflation ConvergenceMonetary Policy Easing
Regions
UKUnited Kingdom
