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Report published July 21, 2026

The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Treasury Market: A J.P. Morgan Research Primer

J.P. Morgan · July 21, 2026

This report provides a comprehensive primer on the US Treasury market, detailing issuance mechanics, repo markets, product types, and valuation drivers. It highlights the shift in market ownership and liquidity improvements post-2023.

Read the remaining 4 pages

Finvaulta summarizes J.P. Morgan's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US Treasury market is the largest and deepest fixed income market, with $31.1tn in outstanding marketable debt as of June 2026.
  • 2.Treasury market ownership has shifted away from price-insensitive investors (Fed, foreign, banks) toward more active investors (MMFs, asset managers, hedge funds).
  • 3.Market liquidity has improved from 2023 lows due to decreased volatility, increased trading activity, and Treasury's buyback program.

Table of Contents

  • Introduction
  • Repurchase agreements
  • Centrally Cleared Repo
  • Supply process
  • The announcement and when-issue trading
  • Treasury auction mechanics
  • Who participates at auctions?
  • Treasury buyback program
  • Product overview
  • Key drivers of yields
  • Estimating investor positions in Treasuries
  • Relative value
  • Market structure and liquidity

Report data

The Treasury market has more than doubled in size over the past decade — as of June 30, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Outstanding marketable debt31.1 tn USDTotal outstanding marketable debt
Source: US Treasury. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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