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Report published September 24, 2026

Europe First to Market: Today's Morning Meeting – J.P. Morgan (September 24, 2026)

J.P. Morgan · September 24, 2026

J.P. Morgan's European Equity daily research note highlights cautious positioning in European Chemicals alongside an Overweight reinstatement on Akzo Nobel following its Axalta merger. It also details findings from its semi-annual Global Capex Survey projecting a 16% corporate capex increase in 2026 driven by AI infrastructure, and analyzes the Swiss Upper House vote regarding UBS parent bank capital requirements.

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Finvaulta summarizes J.P. Morgan's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.European Chemicals outlook remains challenged by structural overcapacity and competition from China, turning Middle East conflict into a headwind; analysts prefer idiosyncratic Overweights and consolidation candidates like Akzo Nobel.
  • 2.Akzo Nobel is reinstated at Overweight with a Dec-27 price target of €72, citing multiple paths to upside via the Axalta merger synergies, potential divestments, and SOTP optionality from Deco separation.
  • 3.Global corporate capex is projected to increase 16% YoY in 2026, driven by artificial intelligence infrastructure, data centers (+98% in Internet/Media/Services), and semiconductors (+45%).

Table of Contents

  • Today's Morning Meeting
  • Also Published Today
  • In Case You Missed It... Trending in the Last Month
  • Key Changes
  • JPM Events
  • Upcoming Earnings

Report data

EPS Estimate Changes

MetricEstimateContext
Global Capex Growth16%Global corporate capex growth across all end markets
Internet, Media and Services Capex Growth98%Capex growth driven by data centers
Semiconductors Capex Growth45%Capex growth in semiconductor sector
Akzo Nobel Price Target72 EURPrice target upon reinstatement at Overweight
UBS Trapped Capital Gap in Parent Bank4 USD billionCapital UBS needs to retain under the 90% CET1 backing requirement
Source: J.P. Morgan Global Capex Survey; J.P. Morgan estimates. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Europe First to Market is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 24, 2026.

Part of the Europe First to Market series — view all 49 editions

  1. Sep 17JPM Europe Equity Research | Today’s Morning Meeting
  2. Sep 18JPM Europe Equity Research | Today’s Morning Meeting
  3. Sep 22Europe Equity Research | Today’s Morning Meeting
  4. Sep 23JPM Europe Equity Research | Today’s Morning Meeting

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