Report published August 17, 2026
ING Commodities Feed: Oil Nears $90 on Middle East Risks as Copper Reaches Record High
Source and citation context
- Issuer
- ING
- Report date
- August 17, 2026
- Analysis as of
- Not stated in source
Authors / editors: Ewa Manthey (Author), Warren Patterson (Author)
Finvaulta summarizes ING's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Crude oil is holding near $90/bbl as Middle East geopolitical risks and vessel attacks in the Strait of Hormuz threaten supply flows. Concurrently, LME copper surged to a record high of $14,396/t amid acute supply tightness and declining warehouse inventories.
Key Takeaways
- 1.ICE Brent traded just below $90/bbl, supported by Middle East tensions in Lebanon and attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
- 2.LME copper hit a record high of $14,396/t on acute near-term supply tightness and falling exchange inventories.
- 3.Ukraine grain exports remain severely constrained by Black Sea corridor closures, while Russian grain sales continue to increase.
Table of Contents
- Energy - Brent near $90/bbl on supply risks
- Metals – Copper rally extends on supply tightness
- Agriculture – Black Sea disruptions hit Ukraine grain exports
- Author
- Disclaimer
Report data
ICE Brent prices remain supported by renewed fighting in Lebanon and attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| LME Copper Price | 14396.0 $/t | Record high copper price amid seven consecutive weeks of gains |
| LME Copper Cash/3M Backwardation | 518.5 $/t | Widened to strongest backwardation since October 2021 |
| LME Copper Inventories | 204975.0 tonnes | Fell for a 42nd consecutive session to the lowest level since February |
| US Oil Active Rig Count | 455.0 rigs | Third consecutive weekly increase; up 43 rigs YoY |
| US Crude Oil Production Forecast | 13.8 mb/d | Forecast to increase from 13.6mb/d in 2025 to 14.2mb/d in 2027 |
Reports in this series
The Commodities Feed is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 17, 2026.
Part of the The Commodities Feed series — view all 23 editions
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Authors / Editors
Reported Data Context
- LME Copper Price: 14396.0 $/t (2026-08-17) · Source: LME
- LME Copper Cash/3M Backwardation: 518.5 $/t (2026-08-17) · Source: LME
- LME Copper Inventories: 204975.0 tonnes (2026-08-17) · Source: LME
- US Oil Active Rig Count: 455.0 rigs (Previous week) · Source: Baker Hughes
- US Crude Oil Production Forecast: 13.8 mb/d (2026) · Source: EIA
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