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Report published August 17, 2026

ING Commodities Feed: Oil Nears $90 on Middle East Risks as Copper Reaches Record High

Source and citation context

Issuer
ING
Report date
August 17, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Ewa Manthey (Author), Warren Patterson (Author)

Finvaulta summarizes ING's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateCommoditiesDerivativesConsumer StaplesEnergy

Crude oil is holding near $90/bbl as Middle East geopolitical risks and vessel attacks in the Strait of Hormuz threaten supply flows. Concurrently, LME copper surged to a record high of $14,396/t amid acute supply tightness and declining warehouse inventories.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.ICE Brent traded just below $90/bbl, supported by Middle East tensions in Lebanon and attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.LME copper hit a record high of $14,396/t on acute near-term supply tightness and falling exchange inventories.
  • 3.Ukraine grain exports remain severely constrained by Black Sea corridor closures, while Russian grain sales continue to increase.

Table of Contents

  • Energy - Brent near $90/bbl on supply risks
  • Metals – Copper rally extends on supply tightness
  • Agriculture – Black Sea disruptions hit Ukraine grain exports
  • Author
  • Disclaimer

Report data

ICE Brent prices remain supported by renewed fighting in Lebanon and attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz

MetricEstimateContext
LME Copper Price14396.0 $/tRecord high copper price amid seven consecutive weeks of gains
LME Copper Cash/3M Backwardation518.5 $/tWidened to strongest backwardation since October 2021
LME Copper Inventories204975.0 tonnesFell for a 42nd consecutive session to the lowest level since February
US Oil Active Rig Count455.0 rigsThird consecutive weekly increase; up 43 rigs YoY
US Crude Oil Production Forecast13.8 mb/dForecast to increase from 13.6mb/d in 2025 to 14.2mb/d in 2027
Source: LME; Baker Hughes; EIA. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

The Commodities Feed is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 17, 2026.

Part of the The Commodities Feed series — view all 23 editions

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Authors / Editors

Ewa Manthey · AuthorWarren Patterson · Author

Reported Data Context

  • LME Copper Price: 14396.0 $/t (2026-08-17) · Source: LME
  • LME Copper Cash/3M Backwardation: 518.5 $/t (2026-08-17) · Source: LME
  • LME Copper Inventories: 204975.0 tonnes (2026-08-17) · Source: LME
  • US Oil Active Rig Count: 455.0 rigs (Previous week) · Source: Baker Hughes
  • US Crude Oil Production Forecast: 13.8 mb/d (2026) · Source: EIA

Securities

HGCOMEX Gold FuturesCBOT Soybean FuturesCBOT Corn FuturesICE Brent Crude FuturesNYMEX WTI Crude FuturesCOMEX Copper FuturesCOMEX Silver Futures

Themes

Middle East Geopolitical Supply RisksBase Metals Inventory Depletion and BackwardationBlack Sea Agricultural Supply Chain Disruptions

Regions

Middle EastNorth AmericaEuropeUnited StatesIranLebanon