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Report published September 23, 2026

The Commodities Feed: Brent Drops Below $100 – ING Commodities Daily

ING · September 23, 2026

Brent crude fell below $99/bbl following the restart of Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, progress in US-Iran talks, and a surprise US crude inventory build. Meanwhile, Chinese gold imports surged to record highs in August and Ukraine concluded its wheat harvest with an 11% output increase.

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Finvaulta summarizes ING's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Oil prices retreated sharply with Brent falling below $99/bbl on expectations of increased Saudi crude exports via the East-West pipeline, progress in US-Iran talks, and an unexpected US crude inventory build.
  • 2.Chinese gold imports reached record levels, rising 39.3% YoY in August to 141.7 tonnes and 72.2% YTD to 1,141.2 tonnes, supported by domestic price premiums, a stronger yuan, and PBOC licensing quotas.
  • 3.Copper prices found physical support from Chinese holiday restocking and falling Shanghai cathode stocks, even as investor positioning across base metals remained subdued.

Table of Contents

  • Energy – Saudi pipeline restart weighs on oil prices
  • Metals – Strong demand drives Chinese gold imports
  • Agriculture – Ukraine completes wheat harvest

Report data

Key figures extracted from this report

MetricEstimateContext
Brent Crude Price<99 USD/bblBrent dropping below $99/bbl after six consecutive down sessions.
Saudi East-West Pipeline Capacity7 million b/dCapacity of route bypassing the Strait of Hormuz resuming exports from Yanbu terminal.
US Crude Inventories Change1.7 million barrelsAPI reported build compared with expectations of a 578k-barrel draw.
Chinese Gold Imports (August)141.7 tonnesAugust gold imports rose 39.3% YoY, bringing YTD imports to 1,141.2 tonnes (+72.2%).
Shanghai Copper Cathode Inventories43900 tonnesInventories fell by 14,700 tonnes to 43,900 tonnes, lowest level since December 2023.
Source: API. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

The Commodities Feed is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 23, 2026.

Part of the The Commodities Feed series — view all 33 editions

Looking for the latest edition? ING Think the commodities feed risks keep oil price supported despite improving supply061026 (Oct 6, 2026)

  1. Sep 14ING Think the commodities feed oil stronger on saudi pipeline shutdown140926
  2. Sep 15ING Think the commodities feed saudi oil supply uncertainty150926
  3. Sep 21ING Think the commodities feed oil cools off from the highs
  4. Sep 22ING Think the commodities feed oil steadies as middle east tensions linger

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