Report published September 23, 2026
Second-Quarter Resilience Masks a More Challenging Outlook for Belgian Housing – ING Analysis
ING · September 23, 2026
The Belgian housing market showed unexpected resilience in Q2 2026, with transactions rising 2.4% QoQ and prices up 5.3% YoY. However, higher long-term interest rates and weak mortgage production point to moderating growth ahead, with nominal median prices forecast to rise 2.5% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027.
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Finvaulta summarizes ING's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Belgian housing activity and prices remained resilient in Q2 2026, with transactions rising 2.4% QoQ and house prices increasing 0.2% QoQ (5.3% YoY).
- 2.Underlying momentum is expected to slow due to restrictive financing conditions, higher long-term interest rates, and a 10% YoY contraction in mortgage lending during the first eight months of the year.
- 3.Rising energy prices and stricter renovation standards are expected to widen the valuation gap in favor of energy-efficient properties over energy-intensive homes.
Table of Contents
- Housing market activity remains resilient, but momentum is likely to weaken
- Higher interest rates point to a more challenging outlook
- Higher energy prices could further widen the gap between efficient and inefficient homes
Report data
Belgium's housing market remained resilient in the second quarter, but weaker mortgage lending and higher interest rates point to slower growth ahead
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Housing transactions quarter-on-quarter growth | 2.4% | Quarter-on-quarter increase in Belgian housing transactions |
| Housing transactions year-on-year growth | -4.1% | Activity compared with Q2 2025 |
| House prices quarter-on-quarter growth | 0.2% | Quarter-on-quarter increase in Belgian house prices |
| House prices year-on-year growth | 5.3% | Year-on-year increase in Belgian house prices |
| New mortgage volume growth | -10.0% | Number of new mortgages in the first eight months of 2026 versus the prior year |
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