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Report published September 23, 2026

Second-Quarter Resilience Masks a More Challenging Outlook for Belgian Housing – ING Analysis

ING · September 23, 2026

The Belgian housing market showed unexpected resilience in Q2 2026, with transactions rising 2.4% QoQ and prices up 5.3% YoY. However, higher long-term interest rates and weak mortgage production point to moderating growth ahead, with nominal median prices forecast to rise 2.5% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027.

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Finvaulta summarizes ING's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Belgian housing activity and prices remained resilient in Q2 2026, with transactions rising 2.4% QoQ and house prices increasing 0.2% QoQ (5.3% YoY).
  • 2.Underlying momentum is expected to slow due to restrictive financing conditions, higher long-term interest rates, and a 10% YoY contraction in mortgage lending during the first eight months of the year.
  • 3.Rising energy prices and stricter renovation standards are expected to widen the valuation gap in favor of energy-efficient properties over energy-intensive homes.

Table of Contents

  • Housing market activity remains resilient, but momentum is likely to weaken
  • Higher interest rates point to a more challenging outlook
  • Higher energy prices could further widen the gap between efficient and inefficient homes

Report data

Belgium's housing market remained resilient in the second quarter, but weaker mortgage lending and higher interest rates point to slower growth ahead

MetricEstimateContext
Housing transactions quarter-on-quarter growth2.4%Quarter-on-quarter increase in Belgian housing transactions
Housing transactions year-on-year growth-4.1%Activity compared with Q2 2025
House prices quarter-on-quarter growth0.2%Quarter-on-quarter increase in Belgian house prices
House prices year-on-year growth5.3%Year-on-year increase in Belgian house prices
New mortgage volume growth-10.0%Number of new mortgages in the first eight months of 2026 versus the prior year

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THINK Economic and financial analysis is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 23, 2026.

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