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Report published July 8, 2026

FX Daily: FOMC Minutes Reinforce USD Strength and Hawkish Policy Trajectory

ING · July 8, 2026

The market focus turns to the Fed's June meeting minutes, which are expected to bolster a hawkish outlook and support the USD. Meanwhile, the RBNZ delivered a hawkish rate hike, and the NBP remains under scrutiny as the Polish zloty faces downward pressure.

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Finvaulta summarizes ING's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The upcoming FOMC minutes are expected to reinforce a hawkish message, providing a floor for the US dollar.
  • 2.The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) hiked rates to 2.50% and signaled potential for further tightening.
  • 3.The National Bank of Poland (NBP) is expected to hold rates, with the zloty under pressure due to dovish outlooks relative to peers.

Table of Contents

  • USD: FOMC minutes to strengthen hawkish message
  • EUR: Still quite relaxed about France
  • NZD: RBNZ hikes and prepares to do more
  • PLN: NBP dovishness keeps pressure on zloty

Report data

Equity jitters offered the dollar some support yesterday

MetricEstimateContext
RBNZ Policy Rate2.50%RBNZ hiked rates by 25bp
Source: RBNZ. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

FX Daily is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on July 8, 2026.

Part of the FX Daily series — view all 70 editions

Looking for the latest edition? ING Think fx daily french risk keeps harming ecb hawks (Oct 6, 2026)

  1. Jul 1ING-Think-fx-daily-warsh-should-keep-the-dollar-supported
  2. Jul 3ING-Think-fx-daily-high-alert-on-jpy-intervention
  3. Jul 6ING-Think-fx-daily-more-insights-into-the-fed-this-week
  4. Jul 7ING-Think-fx-daily-le-pens-court-ruling-not-a-big-event-for-the-euro

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