Report published July 8, 2026
FX Daily: FOMC Minutes Reinforce USD Strength and Hawkish Policy Trajectory
ING · July 8, 2026
The market focus turns to the Fed's June meeting minutes, which are expected to bolster a hawkish outlook and support the USD. Meanwhile, the RBNZ delivered a hawkish rate hike, and the NBP remains under scrutiny as the Polish zloty faces downward pressure.
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Key Takeaways
- 1.The upcoming FOMC minutes are expected to reinforce a hawkish message, providing a floor for the US dollar.
- 2.The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) hiked rates to 2.50% and signaled potential for further tightening.
- 3.The National Bank of Poland (NBP) is expected to hold rates, with the zloty under pressure due to dovish outlooks relative to peers.
Table of Contents
- USD: FOMC minutes to strengthen hawkish message
- EUR: Still quite relaxed about France
- NZD: RBNZ hikes and prepares to do more
- PLN: NBP dovishness keeps pressure on zloty
Report data
Equity jitters offered the dollar some support yesterday
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| RBNZ Policy Rate | 2.50% | RBNZ hiked rates by 25bp |
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