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ING Bank N.V.

February 11, 2026

Dutch Hospitality 2026 Modest Portions on the Menu

Sector ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsOtherConsumer Discretionary

The Dutch hospitality sector faces a challenging 2026 with modest 1% volume growth and 4% price increases, primarily due to a significant VAT hike on accommodation. Financial pressure is high, with 20% of sector businesses facing problematic debt.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Limited volume growth of 1% is expected for the Dutch hospitality industry in 2026 as consumer confidence remains low.
  • 2.Hospitality prices are forecast to rise by 4%, driven largely by a VAT hike on accommodation from 9% to 21%.
  • 3.Financial distress is acute in the sector, with 20% of hospitality businesses burdened by problematic debt compared to 7% for the overall economy.

Table of Contents

  • Dutch hospitality 2026: modest portions on the menu
  • Moderate volume growth expected in 2026
  • Modest recovery for Dutch hospitality industry expected in 2026
  • Hospitality prices set to rise by 4% in 2026
  • More volatile room rates due to VAT increase
  • Growing number of restaurants and cafes facing problematic debts
  • Bankruptcies remain high among restaurants
  • The Dutch hospitality industry faces a mixed cocktail of trends
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