ING Bank N.V.
February 11, 2026
Dutch Hospitality 2026 Modest Portions on the Menu
Sector ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsOtherConsumer Discretionary
The Dutch hospitality sector faces a challenging 2026 with modest 1% volume growth and 4% price increases, primarily due to a significant VAT hike on accommodation. Financial pressure is high, with 20% of sector businesses facing problematic debt.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Limited volume growth of 1% is expected for the Dutch hospitality industry in 2026 as consumer confidence remains low.
- 2.Hospitality prices are forecast to rise by 4%, driven largely by a VAT hike on accommodation from 9% to 21%.
- 3.Financial distress is acute in the sector, with 20% of hospitality businesses burdened by problematic debt compared to 7% for the overall economy.
Table of Contents
- Dutch hospitality 2026: modest portions on the menu
- Moderate volume growth expected in 2026
- Modest recovery for Dutch hospitality industry expected in 2026
- Hospitality prices set to rise by 4% in 2026
- More volatile room rates due to VAT increase
- Growing number of restaurants and cafes facing problematic debts
- Bankruptcies remain high among restaurants
- The Dutch hospitality industry faces a mixed cocktail of trends
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Authors
Katinka Jongkind
Themes
Debt and Bankruptcy RiskSector Consolidation/BifurcationVAT Tax Policy Impact
Regions
EuropeNetherlands
