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Report published August 13, 2026

York Space Systems (YSS) 2Q26 First Take: Goldman Sachs Research Report

Source and citation context

Report date
August 13, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Noah Poponak, CFA (Lead Author), Connor Dessert (Author), Tomas Russo (Author), Nizar Mesani (Author), Amanda Fenenbock (Author)

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

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York Space Systems reported 2Q26 revenue of $92.5mn (beating estimates by 4%) and Adjusted EBITDA of $(9.5)mn (missing estimates). The company cut its full-year revenue guidance by 32% at the midpoint to $375-405mn due to government acquisition methodology changes, while Goldman Sachs reiterated a Neutral rating with a $28 price target.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.York Space Systems reported 2Q26 revenues of $92.5mn (+10.4% YoY), beating consensus/GS estimates by 4%, but Adjusted EBITDA came in lower than expected at $(9.5)mn vs GS estimate of $(4.0)mn.
  • 2.Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was cut by 32% at the midpoint to $375-405mn (from $545-595mn prior) as YSS removed new business assumptions due to shifting government acquisition methodologies.
  • 3.Goldman Sachs maintains a Neutral rating on YSS with a 12-month price target of $28.00 based on a 3.4X CY28 EV/Sales multiple.

Table of Contents

  • Exhibit 1: YSS 2Q26 results vs. GS estimates
  • Disclosure Appendix

Report data

Exhibit 1: YSS 2Q26 results vs. GS estimates

MetricEstimateContext
2Q26 Revenue92.5 USD mnActual revenue for 2Q26 vs GS estimate of $88.8mn (+10.4% YoY)
2Q26 Adjusted EBITDA-9.5 USD mnActual Adjusted EBITDA for 2Q26 vs GS estimate of $(4.0)mn
Full Year Revenue Guidance Range375-405 USD mnLowered full year revenue guidance from prior $545-595mn (down 32% at midpoint)
12-month Price Target28.00 USDGS price target based on 3.4X CY28 EV/Sales
Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research; Company data; Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Noah Poponak, CFA · Lead AuthorConnor Dessert · AuthorTomas Russo · AuthorNizar Mesani · AuthorAmanda Fenenbock · Author

Reported Data Context

  • 2Q26 Revenue: 92.5 USD mn (2Q26) · Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • 2Q26 Adjusted EBITDA: -9.5 USD mn (2Q26) · Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • Full Year Revenue Guidance Range: 375-405 USD mn (FY26) · Source: Company data
  • 12-month Price Target: 28.00 USD (12 months) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Securities

YSS

Themes

Defense and Government Acquisition Methodology ShiftsRevenue Guidance Revision & Unbooked Opportunity Risks

Regions

North AmericaUnited States