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Report published September 8, 2026

US Tariff Impact Tracker: Port of Los Angeles Imports & Freight Cycle Outlook

Goldman Sachs · September 8, 2026

Goldman Sachs' weekly US Tariff Impact Tracker shows laden container vessels from China to the US rose +23% YoY and Port of LA imports are projected to jump +35% WoW before slowing two weeks out. While tariff uncertainty and earlier demand pull-forward create near-term volatility, the analysts maintain a positive outlook on a 2026 transport volume recovery.

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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Laden container vessels from China to the US rose sequentially (+1% WoW) and +23% YoY, while TEU volumes grew +4% WoW and +21% YoY.
  • 2.Port of Los Angeles TEU import flows are expected to jump +35% WoW next week before contracting -16% WoW two weeks out (+60% and +3% YoY, respectively).
  • 3.West Coast trucking activity stabilized with weekly load availability rebounding +16% WoW (though -13% YoY) and spot rates ex-fuel up +17% YoY, following a slowdown in July and August.

Table of Contents

  • Key observations from this past week's report:
  • What the Tracker Is:
  • 2026 Trade and Transport Scenario Roadmap—Revised From First and Second Edition:
  • What to do with Transport stocks:
  • High Frequency Weekly Data
  • Lagged Monthly Data

Report data

Port Optimizer 6 Week Dashboard

MetricEstimateContext
Laden container vessels from China to US (YoY growth)23.0%Laden container ships departing China en route to the US over a rolling 15-day window.
TEU volume from China to US (YoY growth)21.0%Aggregated TEUs of vessels departing China for the US over a rolling 15-day window.
Port of Los Angeles planned TEUs (WoW projected change)34.8%Projected import TEU recovery following a -16.6% decline in Week 35.
Ocean container rates China/East Asia to US West Coast (YoY growth)3.5 multipleDown -1% WoW but up 3.5x YoY.
Truckload spot rates ex-fuel West Coast (YoY growth)17.0%Rates decreased 6.5% w/w but remained up 17% YoY.
Source: Bloomberg; Port Optimizer; Freightos; Truckstop.com. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

US Tariff Impact Tracker is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 8, 2026.

Part of the US Tariff Impact Tracker series — view all 11 editions

Looking for the latest edition? US Tariff Impact Tracker Indicated Imports into LA to Remain Firmly Positive Next Week And Decrease Seq Two Weeks Out (Oct 12, 2026)

  1. Jul 27US Tariff Impact Tracker Imports into LA Mixed Over Next Two Weeks on a YOY Basis
  2. Aug 3US Tariff Impact Tracker Imports into LA Mixed But Mostly Positive Over Next Two Weeks
  3. Aug 10US Tariff Impact Tracker Indicated Imports into LA Remain Positive on YOY Basis Over Next Two Weeks
  4. Aug 31US Tariff Impact Tracker Indicated Imports into LA to Dip into Labor Day Before Bouncing Back Two Weeks Out

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