Report published September 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs US Conviction List - Directors' Cut: September 2026 Update
Source and citation context
- Issuer
- Goldman Sachs
- Report date
- September 1, 2026
- Analysis as of
- August 31, 2026
Authors / editors: Steven Kron, Chris Hussey, Sarah Herr, Deep Mehta
Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Goldman Sachs' September 2026 US Conviction List - Directors' Cut adds Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) and removes Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR), maintaining 23 Buy-rated stocks with a median 12-month upside of 27%. The broader market remains driven by solid 2Q earnings delivery, with the S&P 500 trading at 20X forward P/E.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) is added to the US Conviction List - Directors' Cut, while Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) is removed; the list maintains 23 high-conviction Buy ideas.
- 2.The Conviction List offers a median upside of 27% to 12-month price targets and a median FY2 revenue growth of 6%.
- 3.S&P 500 valuation stands at 20X NTM P/E, driven by resilient 2Q earnings growth (14% median EPS growth) rather than multiple expansion.
Table of Contents
- Market Commentary - so much happened, but not much changed
- Conviction List - what has worked, what has not and what has changed
- What has worked
- What has not
- What has changed
- Anatomy of the List
- Conviction List Explained - refrain
- Our 23 most differentiated Buy recommendations
- Air Products & Chemicals Inc. (APD) - covered by Duffy Fischer
- Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) - covered by Jim Schneider
- Block Inc. (XYZ) - covered by Will Nance
- Carlisle Companies Inc. (CSL) - covered by Sue Maklari
- Casella Waste Systems Inc. (CWST) - covered by Adam Bubes
- Celestica Inc. (CLS) - covered by Michael Ng
- Citizens Financial Group (CFG) - covered by Ryan Nash
- ConocoPhillips (COP) - covered by Neil Mehta
- Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) - covered by Catie O'Brien
- DoorDash Inc. (DASH) - covered by Eric Sheridan
- Estee Lauder Co. (EL) - covered by Bonnie Herzog
- Golar LNG (GLNG) - covered by John Mackay
- Loar Holdings (LOAR) - covered by Noah Poponak
- Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - covered by Gabriela Borges
- Nextpower (NXT) - covered by Brian Lee
- O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) - covered by Kate McShane
- TPG Inc. (TPG) - covered by Alex Blostein
- Tyson Foods Inc. (TSN) - covered by Leah Jordan
- UnitedHealth Group (UNH) - covered by Scott Fidel
- United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) - covered by Jordan Alliger
- Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX) - covered by Salveen Richter
- Viking Holdings (VIK) - covered by Lizzie Dove
- Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) - covered by Richard Ramsden
- Disclosure Appendix
Report data
Exhibit 1: Conviction List - Directors' Cut September Update — as of August 31, 2026.
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Median 2Q26 EPS Growth | 14% | Median EPS growth for S&P 500 companies in 2Q26 earnings season. |
| S&P 500 NTM P/E Multiple | 20 X | Valuation of S&P 500 based on next twelve months EPS forecast. |
| US 3Q GDP Growth Tracker | 2.7% | GS economists raised the 3Q GDP tracking estimate over August. |
| Conviction List Median Upside to Price Target | 27% | Median upside across the 23 Conviction List stocks to 12-month targets. |
Reports in this series
US Conviction List - Directors' Cut is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 1, 2026.
Part of the US Conviction List - Directors' Cut series — view all 3 editions
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Authors / Editors
Reported Data Context
- S&P 500 Median 2Q26 EPS Growth: 14 % (2Q26) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
- S&P 500 NTM P/E Multiple: 20 X (August 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
- US 3Q GDP Growth Tracker: 2.7 % (3Q26) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
- Conviction List Median Upside to Price Target: 27 % (September 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Bloomberg
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