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Report published September 1, 2026

Goldman Sachs US Conviction List - Directors' Cut: September 2026 Update

Source and citation context

Report date
September 1, 2026
Analysis as of
August 31, 2026

Authors / editors: Steven Kron, Chris Hussey, Sarah Herr, Deep Mehta

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Monthly UpdateEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Staples

Goldman Sachs' September 2026 US Conviction List - Directors' Cut adds Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) and removes Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR), maintaining 23 Buy-rated stocks with a median 12-month upside of 27%. The broader market remains driven by solid 2Q earnings delivery, with the S&P 500 trading at 20X forward P/E.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) is added to the US Conviction List - Directors' Cut, while Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) is removed; the list maintains 23 high-conviction Buy ideas.
  • 2.The Conviction List offers a median upside of 27% to 12-month price targets and a median FY2 revenue growth of 6%.
  • 3.S&P 500 valuation stands at 20X NTM P/E, driven by resilient 2Q earnings growth (14% median EPS growth) rather than multiple expansion.

Table of Contents

  • Market Commentary - so much happened, but not much changed
  • Conviction List - what has worked, what has not and what has changed
  • What has worked
  • What has not
  • What has changed
  • Anatomy of the List
  • Conviction List Explained - refrain
  • Our 23 most differentiated Buy recommendations
  • Air Products & Chemicals Inc. (APD) - covered by Duffy Fischer
  • Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) - covered by Jim Schneider
  • Block Inc. (XYZ) - covered by Will Nance
  • Carlisle Companies Inc. (CSL) - covered by Sue Maklari
  • Casella Waste Systems Inc. (CWST) - covered by Adam Bubes
  • Celestica Inc. (CLS) - covered by Michael Ng
  • Citizens Financial Group (CFG) - covered by Ryan Nash
  • ConocoPhillips (COP) - covered by Neil Mehta
  • Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) - covered by Catie O'Brien
  • DoorDash Inc. (DASH) - covered by Eric Sheridan
  • Estee Lauder Co. (EL) - covered by Bonnie Herzog
  • Golar LNG (GLNG) - covered by John Mackay
  • Loar Holdings (LOAR) - covered by Noah Poponak
  • Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - covered by Gabriela Borges
  • Nextpower (NXT) - covered by Brian Lee
  • O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) - covered by Kate McShane
  • TPG Inc. (TPG) - covered by Alex Blostein
  • Tyson Foods Inc. (TSN) - covered by Leah Jordan
  • UnitedHealth Group (UNH) - covered by Scott Fidel
  • United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) - covered by Jordan Alliger
  • Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX) - covered by Salveen Richter
  • Viking Holdings (VIK) - covered by Lizzie Dove
  • Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) - covered by Richard Ramsden
  • Disclosure Appendix

Report data

Exhibit 1: Conviction List - Directors' Cut September Update — as of August 31, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
S&P 500 Median 2Q26 EPS Growth14%Median EPS growth for S&P 500 companies in 2Q26 earnings season.
S&P 500 NTM P/E Multiple20 XValuation of S&P 500 based on next twelve months EPS forecast.
US 3Q GDP Growth Tracker2.7%GS economists raised the 3Q GDP tracking estimate over August.
Conviction List Median Upside to Price Target27%Median upside across the 23 Conviction List stocks to 12-month targets.
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research; Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Bloomberg. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

US Conviction List - Directors' Cut is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 1, 2026.

Part of the US Conviction List - Directors' Cut series — view all 3 editions

  1. Jul 1US CONVICTION LIST - DIRECTORS’ CUT July 2026 Update
  2. Aug 3US Conviction List - Directors' Cut August 2026 Update - Stocks for a broadening market

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Authors / Editors

Steven KronChris HusseySarah HerrDeep Mehta

Reported Data Context

  • S&P 500 Median 2Q26 EPS Growth: 14 % (2Q26) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • S&P 500 NTM P/E Multiple: 20 X (August 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • US 3Q GDP Growth Tracker: 2.7 % (3Q26) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • Conviction List Median Upside to Price Target: 27 % (September 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Bloomberg

Securities

VRTXIBKRMSFTCLSNXTLOARDALAMAT

Themes

Energy Complex Disruption and ElectrificationEnterprise AI Adoption & MonetizationFundamental Bottom-Up Stock Selection

Regions

North AmericaUnited States