Report published October 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs: US Conviction List - Directors' Cut (October 2026)
Goldman Sachs · October 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs released its October 2026 update for the US Conviction List - Directors' Cut, adding Amazon (AMZN), Burlington Stores (BURL), Huntington Ingalls (HII), Johnson Controls (JCI), and Occidental Petroleum (OXY). The active list comprises 23 differentiated Buy-rated stocks offering a median 39% upside to 12-month price targets.
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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Goldman Sachs added five stocks to its US Conviction List - Directors' Cut for October 2026: AMZN, BURL, HII, JCI, and OXY.
- 2.Five stocks were removed from the list: APD, COP, GLNG, LOAR, and TSN, though all five maintain fundamental Buy ratings across coverage.
- 3.Macro and equity markets face six major pivot points entering the final quarter: interest rates/Fed policy, AI infrastructure-to-applications transitions, energy/geopolitical supply shocks, upcoming US congressional midterm elections, competition for capital between stocks and bonds, and Chinese stimulus/export policies.
Table of Contents
- Market Commentary - a lot is in flux
- Conviction List - what has worked, what has not and what has changed
- Anatomy of the List
- Conviction List Explained - refrain
- Our 23 most differentiated Buy recommendations
- Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) - covered by Eric Sheridan
- Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) - covered by Brooke Roach
- Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (HII) - covered by Noah Poponak
- Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) - covered by Joe Ritchie
- Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY) - covered by Neil Mehta
Report data
Exhibit 1: Conviction List - Directors' Cut October Update — as of September 30, 2026.
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Conviction List Median Price Target Upside | 39% | Median upside to 12-month price targets across the 23 Conviction List stocks. |
| Johnson Controls Total Backlog | 21 USD bn | Record backlog driven by AI data center cooling orders. |
| Amazon Raised 2026 Capex Forecast | 220 USD bn | Capex raised in July reflecting inflationary component pricing pressures. |
| Occidental Petroleum Expense Cut Target | 4 USD bn | Cash efficiency and self-help program across oil & gas, corporate, and midstream operations. |
Reports in this series
US Conviction List - Directors' Cut is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on October 1, 2026.
Part of the US Conviction List - Directors' Cut series — view all 4 editions
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