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Report published October 1, 2026

Goldman Sachs: US Conviction List - Directors' Cut (October 2026)

Goldman Sachs · October 1, 2026

Goldman Sachs released its October 2026 update for the US Conviction List - Directors' Cut, adding Amazon (AMZN), Burlington Stores (BURL), Huntington Ingalls (HII), Johnson Controls (JCI), and Occidental Petroleum (OXY). The active list comprises 23 differentiated Buy-rated stocks offering a median 39% upside to 12-month price targets.

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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Goldman Sachs added five stocks to its US Conviction List - Directors' Cut for October 2026: AMZN, BURL, HII, JCI, and OXY.
  • 2.Five stocks were removed from the list: APD, COP, GLNG, LOAR, and TSN, though all five maintain fundamental Buy ratings across coverage.
  • 3.Macro and equity markets face six major pivot points entering the final quarter: interest rates/Fed policy, AI infrastructure-to-applications transitions, energy/geopolitical supply shocks, upcoming US congressional midterm elections, competition for capital between stocks and bonds, and Chinese stimulus/export policies.

Table of Contents

  • Market Commentary - a lot is in flux
  • Conviction List - what has worked, what has not and what has changed
  • Anatomy of the List
  • Conviction List Explained - refrain
  • Our 23 most differentiated Buy recommendations
  • Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) - covered by Eric Sheridan
  • Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) - covered by Brooke Roach
  • Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (HII) - covered by Noah Poponak
  • Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) - covered by Joe Ritchie
  • Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY) - covered by Neil Mehta

Report data

Exhibit 1: Conviction List - Directors' Cut October Update — as of September 30, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Conviction List Median Price Target Upside39%Median upside to 12-month price targets across the 23 Conviction List stocks.
Johnson Controls Total Backlog21 USD bnRecord backlog driven by AI data center cooling orders.
Amazon Raised 2026 Capex Forecast220 USD bnCapex raised in July reflecting inflationary component pricing pressures.
Occidental Petroleum Expense Cut Target4 USD bnCash efficiency and self-help program across oil & gas, corporate, and midstream operations.
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research; Company data. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

US Conviction List - Directors' Cut is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on October 1, 2026.

Part of the US Conviction List - Directors' Cut series — view all 4 editions

  1. Jul 1US CONVICTION LIST - DIRECTORS’ CUT July 2026 Update
  2. Aug 3US Conviction List - Directors' Cut August 2026 Update - Stocks for a broadening market
  3. Sep 1US Conviction List Directors' Cut September 2026 Update Refreshed Views for Back to School

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