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Goldman Sachs

China Spirits Tracker

Finvaulta tracks 3 editions of China Spirits Tracker from Goldman Sachs, published between June 16, 2026 and September 8, 2026. Each edition is summarized on its own page.

Latest edition · September 8, 2026

China Spirits Tracker Moutai price adjustment of 7 SKUs

Super-premium spirits wholesale prices showed sequential recovery in July-August, aided by Moutai's price adjustments across 7 SKUs in direct stores. However, Goldman Sachs maintains a cautious stance on broader festival retail demand given lagging distributor prepayments.

Wholesale prices for leading Chinese super-premium spirits recovered alongside improved supply/demand dynamics in July-August, led by Feitian Moutai rising to Rmb1,720-1,730 per bottle and Moutai adjusting prices across 7 SKUs in 43 self-operated stores on September 8. Despite these micro improvements and lean channel inventories at Moutai, Goldman Sachs remains cautious regarding overall holiday retail demand. Large-scale terminal channel stocking for the upcoming Mid-Autumn and National Day festival season has not yet begun, and distributor willingness to fulfill full-year prepayments remains subdued across peers like Fen Wine and Luzhou Laojiao.

Read the latest edition in full

Key takeaways from the latest edition

  • 1.Super-premium baijiu wholesale prices recovered sequentially in July-August, with Feitian Moutai rising Rmb10-20 to Rmb1,720-1,730 per bottle.
  • 2.Moutai adjusted retail prices for 7 SKUs across 43 direct self-operated stores on September 8, raising prices on 5 SKUs by 1-2% and trimming 2 SKUs by 1%.
  • 3.Outlook remains cautious for upcoming festival retail demand as peak stocking has not yet commenced and distributor prepayment willingness remains muted.

What this series covers

  • Exhibit 1: Moutai latest price hike summary
  • Weekly Momentum of China Spirits Sector
  • Wholesale price summary of high-end liquors
  • Wholesale price summary of 40+ SKUs
  • Performance & Valuation
  • Valuation methodology and key risks

Edition archive

Series at a glance

Editions tracked
3
First edition
June 16, 2026
Latest edition
September 8, 2026
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