Report published September 28, 2026
Goldman Sachs Research: Multi-Industry Capex Tracker: Medium-Term Capex Expectations Continue to Improve
Goldman Sachs · September 28, 2026
Goldman Sachs' Multi-Industry Capex Tracker shows 2026E capex growth upgraded to c.18%, driven by structural spending in Datacenters, Semiconductors, and Utilities. These three segments account for 38% of total 2026 capex and are forecast to expand to 53% by 2029.
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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Medium-term capex forecasts have seen sizable upward revisions, with 2026E capex growth rising 4.6 percentage points since May 2026 to reach c.18%, well above historical trend growth of c.2%.
- 2.Investment growth is increasingly concentrated in Datacenters, Semiconductors, and Utilities, which represent c.38% of total 2026E capex (up from 22% in 2022) and are projected to reach 53% by 2029.
- 3.Aggregate capex CAGR across 2025–29E stands at c.12%, spearheaded by Datacenters (c.43% CAGR) and Semiconductors (c.29% CAGR), whereas LNG/Offshore, Transmission, and Airports show material downgrades or negative growth.
Table of Contents
- Medium-term capex forecasts revised higher again, driven by tech and utilities
- GS Capex Tracker by End Market
- Oil & Gas
- Technology
- Datacenters
- Semiconductors
- Power Generation
- Renewables and Transmission & Distribution
- Transmission
- Telecom
- Consumer
- Retail
- Food & Beverage
- Food
- Beverage
- Dairy
- Vehicles
- Mining
- Copper
- Chemicals
- Airlines
- Pharma
- Construction Equipment
- Rail
- REITs
- Marine
- Cruise
- Merchant
- LNG/Offshore
- Ports
- Trucking
- Pulp & Paper
- Healthcare
- Airports
- Biotech
- Appendix: Stock OSG vs Weighted Capex (>50% RSQ)
Report data
Exhibit 1: We see robust and positive sequential Capex CAGR growth in Datacenters, Semiconductors, Chemicals, Airports and Rail - End Market Summary
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026E Global Industrial Capex Growth | 18.0% | Capex growth expected to end well above the historical median of c.2%, revised up 4.6pp from May. |
| 2027E Global Industrial Capex Growth | 17.0% | Revised higher from 12% in the May 2026 update. |
| Total Tracked Capex Value | 3.9 EUR trillion | Analysis covers €3.9tn of capex across c.4,000 companies in 34 end and sub-end markets. |
| Datacenters Capex CAGR | 42.6% | Datacenter capex CAGR leads all tracked markets; 2026 capex alone is €802 bn. |
| Semiconductors Capex CAGR | 28.9% | Adjusted capex growth CAGR 2025–29E, up 5.8 pp vs previous update. |
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