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Report published September 1, 2026

Mexico Macro Update: Flat Business Sentiment and Firming INEGI Manufacturing PMI

Source and citation context

Report date
September 1, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Alberto Ramos

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrials

Mexico's aggregate business confidence index (IGOEC) was unchanged at 48.2 in August, marking its seventeenth consecutive month below the 50-neutral threshold. Meanwhile, the INEGI Manufacturing PMI rose 2.1 points to 52.2, boosted by gains in new orders and production.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Mexico's aggregate business confidence index (IGOEC) remained flat at 48.2 in August, remaining below the 50-neutral threshold for the seventeenth consecutive month.
  • 2.The INEGI Manufacturing PMI rose by 2.1 points to 52.2 in August, driven by strength in new orders and production.
  • 3.Sector confidence indicators were mixed: construction, private non-financial services, and manufacturing improved, whereas retail confidence declined.

Table of Contents

  • Bottom Line
  • DETAILS
  • Disclosure Appendix

Report data

Mexico: Global Indicator of Business Confidence (IGOEC)

MetricEstimateContext
Aggregate Business Confidence Index (IGOEC)48.2 index_pointsComposite weighted average of manufacturing, construction, commerce, and non-financial services confidence indices.
INEGI Manufacturing PMI52.2 index_pointsOverall manufacturing PMI expansion driven by production and new orders.
Manufacturing PMI New Orders Component54.3 index_pointsComponent of the INEGI Manufacturing PMI.
Manufacturing PMI Production Component53.9 index_pointsComponent of the INEGI Manufacturing PMI.
Manufacturing PMI Employment Component49.7 index_pointsEmployment component declined at a slower pace.
Source: INEGI. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Alberto Ramos

Reported Data Context

  • Aggregate Business Confidence Index (IGOEC): 48.2 index_points (2026-08) · Source: INEGI
  • INEGI Manufacturing PMI: 52.2 index_points (2026-08) · Source: INEGI
  • Manufacturing PMI New Orders Component: 54.3 index_points (2026-08) · Source: INEGI
  • Manufacturing PMI Production Component: 53.9 index_points (2026-08) · Source: INEGI
  • Manufacturing PMI Employment Component: 49.7 index_points (2026-08) · Source: INEGI

Themes

Mexican Macroeconomic Activity and SentimentManufacturing PMI Dynamics

Regions

Latin AmericaMexico