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Report published September 25, 2026

Goldman Sachs: Japan Weekly Kickstart: AI and Financials Leading the Increase in Liquid Japanese Names

Goldman Sachs · September 25, 2026

Goldman Sachs highlights a significant expansion in liquid Japanese equities, driven primarily by strong investor interest in AI and Financials, which now represent 106 of Japan's 300 most liquid names. The firm maintains a constructive equity view with a 12-month TOPIX target of 4,600 while noting GS FX Strategy's lower USD/JPY forecasts toward 150 over 12 months.

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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Liquidity in Japanese equities has broadened and concentrated heavily into AI beneficiaries and Financials, with stocks trading over US$20mn ADTV expanding from 200–250 in 2023 to 300–350 by 2026.
  • 2.AI and Financials account for 106 of the 300 most liquid companies in Japan, seeing their median ADTV surge from under US$5mn to peak above US$20mn in late June 2026.
  • 3.GS FX Strategy revised down USD/JPY forecasts to 158 (3M), 155 (6M), and 150 (12M), citing a faster pace of BoJ rate hikes, FX intervention risks, and Japanese investor rotation into domestic assets.

Table of Contents

  • Summary of the week
  • Japan AI and Financials interest driving greater levels of TOPIX liquidity
  • Market Dashboard
  • Strategy Focus
  • Valuation/Performance
  • Flows/Positioning/Earnings Momentum
  • Style/Baskets
  • Sector Performance/Revisions/Valuations
  • Performance table (by sector)
  • Best-Worst spread table (by sector)
  • Top 10 performers in whole liquid universe
  • Bottom 10 performers in whole liquid universe
  • Top 10 overbought names in whole liquid universe
  • Top 10 oversold companies in whole liquid universe
  • Top 5 Performers (by sector)
  • Bottom 5 Performers (by sector)
  • Top 5 overbought names (by sector)
  • Top 5 oversold names (by sector)
  • Sector Dashboard
  • 52-week Weekly Spread Charts
  • Appendix One - Methodology

Report data

Exhibit 1: Liquidity in TOPIX has increased — as of September 25, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
TOPIX Level4,128.59 index pointsSummary of the week TOPIX index closing level and 1-week gain.
Nikkei 225 Level66,364.20 index pointsSummary of the week Nikkei 225 closing level and 1-week gain.
Number of Japanese stocks with ADTV > US$20mn300-350 stocksExpansion in the liquid Japanese equity universe.
AI and Financials in top 300 liquid names106 companiesNumber of AI and Financials companies among Japan's 300 most liquid stocks.
TOPIX 12M Target4,600 index pointsGoldman Sachs 12-month target for TOPIX.
Source: FactSet; Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Japan Weekly Kickstart is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 25, 2026.

Part of the Japan Weekly Kickstart series — view all 8 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Japan Weekly Kickstart More than meets the AI (Oct 3, 2026)

  1. Aug 14Japan Weekly Kickstart 1Q 3 27 results summary
  2. Sep 4Japan Weekly Kickstart Bimonthly flows update
  3. Sep 11Japan Weekly Kickstart Investor concerns remain elevated regarding macro risks
  4. Sep 18Japan Weekly Kickstart Has it been better to travel or to arrive with the BOJ

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