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Report published September 9, 2026

Japan September 2026 Reuters Tankan: Semiconductor Demand Drives Manufacturer Sentiment to Multi-Year Highs

Goldman Sachs · September 9, 2026

The September Reuters Tankan showed Japan's manufacturing DI rising +3 points to +21, its highest level since December 2021, while non-manufacturers edged up +1 point to +29. Solid demand related to semiconductors, memory, and data centers drove the improvement across sectors.

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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Manufacturers' DI rose +3 points to +21 in September, reaching its highest level since December 2021, led by electric machinery (+15 points) and textiles & paper (+13 points).
  • 2.Both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors cited solid semiconductor, AI, and data center demand as primary catalysts behind business condition improvements.
  • 3.Non-manufacturers' DI ticked up +1 point to +29, with solid pricing power and rent hikes supporting real estate & construction (+5 points) and transport/telecom/utilities (+8 points).

Table of Contents

  • Manufacturers' DI Improves Slightly, Reaches Highest Level Since End of 2021
  • Non-manufacturers' DI Improves by 1 Point
  • The Japan Economics Team

Report data

Exhibit 1: Reuters vs. BOJ Tankan DI: Manufacturers

MetricEstimateContext
Reuters Tankan Manufacturers DI21.0 index pointsReached highest level since December 2021
Reuters Tankan Non-manufacturers DI29.0 index pointsSlightly below the start of the year (+32)
Reuters Tankan Manufacturers DI Outlook27.0 index pointsPrevious outlook DI was +16; electric machinery outlook +17 points
Electric Machinery Sector DI Change15.0 index pointsDriven by solid demand related to semiconductor memory and data centers
Food Sector DI Change-25.0 index pointsDecline caused by high consumer prices and soaring raw material prices
Source: Thomson Reuters. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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