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Report published September 1, 2026

Indonesia: Inflation Rises on Higher Food Prices — Goldman Sachs Research

Source and citation context

Report date
September 1, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Chris Poh, Danny Suwanapruti

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer Staples

Indonesia's headline CPI inflation accelerated to 3.2% yoy in August 2026 from 2.9% yoy in July, outpacing consensus expectations. The pickup in sequential momentum to 0.3% mom was driven by higher food and beverage prices, partially offset by declining transport costs.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Indonesia's headline CPI inflation rose to 3.2% yoy in August 2026 from 2.9% yoy in July, exceeding both Goldman Sachs estimates and Bloomberg consensus (3.1% yoy).
  • 2.Sequential momentum picked up with headline CPI increasing 0.3% mom (NSA), driven primarily by higher meat and chili prices within the food and beverage category.
  • 3.Core CPI inflation ticked up to 2.9% yoy in August from 2.8% yoy in July, while transport prices fell 0.1% mom due to lower airfares and gasoline prices.

Table of Contents

  • Indonesia: Inflation rises on higher food prices
  • Bottom line
  • Key numbers
  • Main points
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Reg AC
  • Disclosures
  • Regulatory disclosures
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

Report data

Key figures extracted from this report

MetricEstimateContext
Indonesia Headline CPI Inflation3.2%Headline CPI inflation rose from 2.9% yoy in July
Indonesia Headline CPI Inflation GS Estimate3.1%GS forecast for August YoY CPI
Indonesia Headline CPI Inflation Consensus3.1%Bloomberg consensus forecast for August YoY CPI
Indonesia Headline CPI MoM (NSA)0.3%Sequential month-on-month inflation, up from -0.1% mom (NSA) in July
Indonesia Core CPI Inflation2.9%Core CPI increased from 2.8% yoy in July
Source: Goldman Sachs; Bloomberg. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Chris PohDanny Suwanapruti

Reported Data Context

  • Indonesia Headline CPI Inflation: 3.2 % (August 2026)
  • Indonesia Headline CPI Inflation GS Estimate: 3.1 % (August 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs
  • Indonesia Headline CPI Inflation Consensus: 3.1 % (August 2026) · Source: Bloomberg
  • Indonesia Headline CPI MoM (NSA): 0.3 % (August 2026)
  • Indonesia Core CPI Inflation: 2.9 % (August 2026)

Themes

Indonesia Consumer Price InflationFood Price Inflation

Regions

Asia PacificIndonesia