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Report published August 13, 2026

Goldman Sachs TMT Specialist Sales: Market Dynamics & Earnings Analysis (Aug 13, 2026)

Source and citation context

Report date
August 13, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Sean Johnstone (TMT Specialist Sales)

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateDerivativesEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsCommunication ServicesFinancials

Goldman Sachs TMT Specialist Sales highlights Adyen's strong Q2 topline growth (+22% ex-FX) as a buying opportunity despite capex pull-forwards weighing on near-term margins. AI infrastructure momentum remains robust across Cisco, Nebius, and optical suppliers, while Tencent's high AI capex ramp pressured its stock and Prosus.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Adyen delivered strong topline Q2 results (+26% TPV, +22% ex-FX net revenue) that de-risk H2 growth, making light EBITDA/FCF driven by pulled-forward compute capex a buying opportunity.
  • 2.AI infrastructure demand remains exceptional (Cisco booked $4bn in AI hyperscaler orders, Nebius ARR hit $3bn), though high expectations and gross margin dilution created mixed stock reactions.
  • 3.Tencent fell 4% and Prosus fell over 7% as a massive CNY52.8bn AI capex ramp (64% above consensus) overshadowed solid core operational results and gross margin expansion.

Table of Contents

  • Market overnight
  • Key results and trends
  • OTHER
  • TECH
  • TELCOS
  • MEDIA & INTERNET
  • MACRO AND TRADING
  • DERIVS
  • TMT

Report data

Key figures extracted from this report

MetricEstimateContext
Q2 TPV Growth YoY26%Adyen Q2 TPV growth, slightly ahead of expectations.
Q2 Net Revenue Growth ex-FX22%Adyen Q2 net revenue growth ex-FX at high end of expectations.
AI Hyperscaler Product Orders4 USD BillionCisco signed $4bn of AI hyperscaler product orders in the quarter.
Quarterly Capex52.8 CNY BillionTencent quarterly capex ~64% above consensus due to AI investment ramp.
Prepaid Smartphone Tariff Increase17%Bharti Airtel effective tariff hike across prepaid smartphone users.

Reports in this series

GS TMT Spec Sales is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 13, 2026.

Part of the GS TMT Spec Sales series — view all 10 editions

  1. Jun 6GS TMT SPEC SALES Media the case for the unloved European media and internet sector
  2. Jun 8GS TMT SPEC SALES French Consoldiation MOU signed; Tech sell off SOX -10%; ASML Elon at partner conf; Google turns up heat; Adyen questions
  3. Jun 9GS TMT SPEC SALES French consoldiation; DHERO more options; Indra & DSY -ve FCAS; OpenAI files; Apple WWDC; Orange Spain
  4. Jun 19GS TMT SPEC SALES: ASML Geopolitcis; ACN disappoints; Wolters preview; BESI takeaways; InPost:Allegro deal
  5. Jun 22GS TMT SPEC SALES : Cannes Lions; Micron & Qualcomm expectations are high; RMV - UK political risk; Software SAP programmer vs vibe coding
  6. Jul 9GS TMT SPEC SALES : Telcos satellite risk debate; GPT-5.6 & Grok 4.5 launch; MSFT preview; Software benchmarking; Vivendi; VOD germany mgt change
  7. Jul 15GS TMT SPEC SALES : ASML raises EUV capacity; Elisa light; Stripe looks at PayPal; IBM warns; DHER talks with Uber continue; Anthropic play in K-12

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Authors / Editors

Sean Johnstone · TMT Specialist Sales

Reported Data Context

  • Q2 TPV Growth YoY: 26 % (Q2 2026)
  • Q2 Net Revenue Growth ex-FX: 22 % (Q2 2026)
  • AI Hyperscaler Product Orders: 4 USD Billion (F4Q)
  • Quarterly Capex: 52.8 CNY Billion (Q2 2026)
  • Prepaid Smartphone Tariff Increase: 17 % (1QFY27)

Securities

QQQCSCO700 HKNBISADYEN NABHARTI ISPRX NA

Themes

AI Infrastructure and Hardware ScalingAI Capex Dilution vs Monetization TimelineTelecom Tariff Hikes and Value-over-Volume Shift

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaGermany